Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #73,892 of 84,120 nationally
Shadow Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Maple Grove
Tract 27053026725 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 2,294 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
In the Shadow Creek area of Maple Grove, census tract 27053026725 scores $1/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than about 39% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 34% of renter households, a high level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,846 a month against an average household income of $123,909 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 22% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,256
Renter share21.7%
SVI overall0.10
Poverty rate11.5%
Median income$123,909
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
93
th percentile
Very High
Within county
25
th percentile
Low
Within state
24
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Maple Grove and the region
Centroid at 45.1126, -93.4480 · click any tract to drill in
Why Shadow Creek scores 2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Maple Grove
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
11.5% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,846 rent vs county FMR
6.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Maple Grove
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Maple Grove
4.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Maple Grove
3.7
How Shadow Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 10
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 33%Socioeconomic
- 4%Household composition
- 24%Racial/ethnic minority
- 16%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 37Total filings 2020-21
- 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.07×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Shadow Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.3%Housing insecurity
- 5.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.1%Food insecurity
- 6.0%SNAP enrollment
- 6.1%Transit barriers
- 5.9%No health insurance
- 14.2%Frequent mental distress
- 22.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Shadow Creek
What moves this score most is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Maple Grove eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Hennepin County average of 5.6 and in line with the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 8.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.07x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053026725
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053026725?
Census tract 27053026725 in the Shadow Creek neighborhood scores 2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053026725?
Median gross rent is $1,846/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053026725?
11.5% of residents in tract 27053026725 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,294.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053026725?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 4th, minority 24th, housing 16th.
Q5
Is tract 27053026725 considered part of Shadow Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053026725 fall within Shadow Creek (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 27053026725 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.07× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 27053026725 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 27053026725 compare to Maple Grove overall?
Tract 27053026725 scores 2/10, lower than the parent city of Maple Grove at 4.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Maple Grove eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Maple Grove
Top eight tracts in Maple Grove ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MN
27053026707
2.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
Rolling Hills North
1.9
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MN
27053026724
1.9
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MN
27053026706
1.8
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MN
27053026712
1.8
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MN
27053026713
1.6
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MN
Delgany
1.5
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MN
Shadow Creek
1.4
/ 10 · Very Low
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