Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally
Shadow Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Maple Grove
Tract 27053026725 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 2,294 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
With a score of 3.5/10, tract 27053026725 in the Shadow Creek area of Maple Grove, MN reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It sits 1.6 points below the Hennepin County average of 5.1.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,256
Renter share21.7%
SVI overall0.10
Poverty rate11.5%
Median income$123,909
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
93
th percentile
Very High
Within county
31
th percentile
Low
Within state
34
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Maple Grove and the region
Centroid at 45.1126, -93.4480 · click any tract to drill in
Why Shadow Creek scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Maple Grove
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
11.5% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,846 rent vs county FMR
6.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Maple Grove
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Maple Grove
4.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Maple Grove
3.7
How Shadow Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 10
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 33%Socioeconomic
- 4%Household composition
- 24%Racial/ethnic minority
- 16%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 37Total filings 2020-21
- 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.07×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Shadow Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.3%Housing insecurity
- 5.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.1%Food insecurity
- 6.0%SNAP enrollment
- 6.1%Transit barriers
- 5.9%No health insurance
- 14.2%Frequent mental distress
- 22.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Shadow Creek
Against Hennepin County at 43.1%, 34% of renters here are cost-burdened. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 7.4/10. On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.2/10.
SNAP participation runs 6.0% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 9.1% against 17.8% nationally.
Running cool, economic stress reads 2.9/10. That is riskier than roughly 31% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 22% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Social vulnerability reads 1.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $123,909, annual rent is just 18%.
Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $1,846, close to the Maple Grove average.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053026725
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053026725?
Census tract 27053026725 in the Shadow Creek neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053026725?
Median gross rent is $1,846/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053026725?
11.5% of residents in tract 27053026725 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,294.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053026725?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 4th, minority 24th, housing 16th.
Q5
Is tract 27053026725 considered part of Shadow Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053026725 fall within Shadow Creek (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 27053026725 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.07× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 27053026725 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 27053026725 compare to Maple Grove overall?
Tract 27053026725 scores 3.5/10, lower than the parent city of Maple Grove at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Maple Grove eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Maple Grove
Top eight tracts in Maple Grove ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MN
27053026707
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27053026724
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
Rolling Hills North
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27053026706
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27053026712
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
Rosemary Hills
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27053026726
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27053026708
3
/ 10 · Low
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