Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #79,998 of 84,120 nationally
Shadow Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Maple Grove
Tract 27053026720 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 5,041 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
How risky is Shadow Creek in Maple Grove for landlords? Census tract 27053026720 scores 5.3/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 49th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 100% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $162,366 a year. About 1% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.4
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 0%
Owners 99%
Tract context
Occupied units1,753
Renter share0.8%
SVI overall0.05
Poverty rate6.2%
Median income$162,366
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
40
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
17
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
12
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Maple Grove and the region
Centroid at 45.0939, -93.4823 · click any tract to drill in
Why Shadow Creek scores 1.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Maple Grove
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
6.2% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Maple Grove
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Maple Grove
4.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Maple Grove
3.7
How Shadow Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 5
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 12%Socioeconomic
- 12%Household composition
- 29%Racial/ethnic minority
- 9%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 2Total filings 2020-21
- 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.27×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Shadow Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.9%Housing insecurity
- 4.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.2%Food insecurity
- 4.3%SNAP enrollment
- 4.9%Transit barriers
- 4.8%No health insurance
- 13.3%Frequent mental distress
- 19.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Shadow Creek
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Maple Grove eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hennepin County average of 5.6 and in line with the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 5th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 6.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053026720
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053026720?
Census tract 27053026720 in the Shadow Creek neighborhood scores 1.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053026720?
6.2% of residents in tract 27053026720 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,041.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053026720?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 12th, household 12th, minority 29th, housing 9th.
Q4
Is tract 27053026720 considered part of Shadow Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053026720 fall within Shadow Creek (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 27053026720 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.27× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q6
What share of households in tract 27053026720 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 27053026720 compare to Maple Grove overall?
Tract 27053026720 scores 1.4/10, lower than the parent city of Maple Grove at 4.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Maple Grove eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Maple Grove
Top eight tracts in Maple Grove ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MN
27053026707
2.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
Shadow Creek
2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
Rolling Hills North
1.9
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MN
27053026724
1.9
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MN
27053026706
1.8
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MN
27053026712
1.8
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MN
27053026713
1.6
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MN
Delgany
1.5
/ 10 · Very Low
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