Prospect Park Eviction Risk: High , Minneapolis
Tract 27053104902 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 4,714 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 27053104902 covers part of the Prospect Park area of Minneapolis, MN, and scores 8/10 on landlord eviction risk. 63% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Hennepin County average of 43.1%.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Minneapolis and the region
Centroid at 44.9694, -93.2218 · click any tract to drill in
Why Prospect Park scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Prospect Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 72
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 81%Socioeconomic
- 6%Household composition
- 69%Racial/ethnic minority
- 92%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 15%Grade B
- 29%Grade C
- 12%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 228Total filings 2020-21
- 3.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.48×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Prospect Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.2%Housing insecurity
- 11.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 29.0%Food insecurity
- 22.0%SNAP enrollment
- 18.6%Transit barriers
- 11.5%No health insurance
- 23.1%Frequent mental distress
- 32.7%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Prospect Park
Severe burden reaches 37%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10. Against the Hennepin County average of 5.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.9 points.
The poverty rate is 50%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Set annual rent against average income of $33,775 and the ratio lands at 46%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. 93% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
On the high side, local political climate reads 9/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. Food insecurity runs 29.0% against 17.8% nationally.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 91st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 27053104902
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053104902?
What is the average rent in tract 27053104902?
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053104902?
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053104902?
Is tract 27053104902 considered part of Prospect Park?
Did eviction filings in tract 27053104902 drop during COVID?
What share of households in tract 27053104902 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 27053104902 compare to Minneapolis overall?
Was tract 27053104902 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Minneapolis
Top eight tracts in Minneapolis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.