Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally
Midtown Phillips Eviction Risk: High , Minneapolis
Tract 27053125900 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 5,039 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
27053125900 is a census tract in the Midtown Phillips area of Minneapolis, MN. It scores 8/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,039 residents. It sits 2.9 points above the Hennepin County average of 5.1.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units1,304
Renter share57.4%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate27.9%
Median income$61,019
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
88
th percentile
High
Within county
96
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Minneapolis and the region
Centroid at 44.9535, -93.2470 · click any tract to drill in
Why Midtown Phillips scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Minneapolis
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
27.9% poverty · this tract
7.0
Supply constraint
$980 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Minneapolis
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.0
How Midtown Phillips compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 94
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 90%Socioeconomic
- 78%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 92%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 62%Grade C
- 3%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 219Total filings over 5 yrs
- 6.46%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.1%Peak (2009)
- 26Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 55% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 210Total filings 2020-21
- 2.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.04×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Midtown Phillips. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 30.0%Housing insecurity
- 18.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 39.5%Food insecurity
- 33.1%SNAP enrollment
- 21.8%Transit barriers
- 22.9%No health insurance
- 21.3%Frequent mental distress
- 39.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Midtown Phillips
What pushes it up most is local political climate at 9/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10.
Against Hennepin County at 43.1%, 54% of renters here are cost-burdened. The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. At $980 a month, rents run 29% under what the rest of Minneapolis commands.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. The poverty rate is 28%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Adults with no health insurance runs 22.9% against 11.3% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 18.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Court records carry 219 eviction filings across 5 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2009, when 9.1% of renter households were served.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053125900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053125900?
Census tract 27053125900 in the Midtown Phillips neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053125900?
Median gross rent is $980/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053125900?
27.9% of residents in tract 27053125900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,039.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053125900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 78th, minority 87th, housing 92th.
Q5
Is tract 27053125900 considered part of Midtown Phillips?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053125900 fall within Midtown Phillips (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053125900?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 219 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053125900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.46% of renter households, peaking at 9.1% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27053125900 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.04× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27053125900 struggle to pay rent?
About 30.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27053125900 compare to Minneapolis overall?
Tract 27053125900 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Minneapolis at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Minneapolis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 27053125900 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 3% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Minneapolis
Top eight tracts in Minneapolis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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