Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Northome Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Paul
Tract 27123030300 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 6,675 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
27123030300 is a census tract in the Northome area of St. Paul, MN. It scores 5.2/10 for landlords. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9/10.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units2,573
Renter share9.2%
SVI overall0.10
Poverty rate3.7%
Median income$99,315
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
7
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
42
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
74
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Paul and the region
Centroid at 44.9828, -93.1355 · click any tract to drill in
Why Northome scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Paul
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
3.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,052 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Paul
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Paul
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Paul
7.5
How Northome compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 10
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 8%Socioeconomic
- 24%Household composition
- 30%Racial/ethnic minority
- 19%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 13%Grade A
- 6%Grade B
- 12%Grade C
- 4%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 61Total filings over 7 yrs
- 2.41%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.2%Peak (2010)
- 9Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 29% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 29Total filings 2020-21
- 0.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.66×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Northome. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.3%Housing insecurity
- 4.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.5%Food insecurity
- 5.2%SNAP enrollment
- 5.6%Transit barriers
- 5.0%No health insurance
- 14.4%Frequent mental distress
- 23.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Northome
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.2/10.
SNAP participation runs 5.2% against 15.2% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,052, 18% below the St. Paul average. Food insecurity runs 8.5% against 17.8% nationally.
The filing record is not thin: 61 evictions over 7 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2010, when 3.2% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped A ("Best") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Paul. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 2.4% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
At 9% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 27123030300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123030300?
Census tract 27123030300 in the Northome neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27123030300?
Median gross rent is $1,052/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123030300?
3.7% of residents in tract 27123030300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,675.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123030300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 24th, minority 30th, housing 19th.
Q5
Is tract 27123030300 considered part of Northome?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27123030300 fall within Northome (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123030300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 61 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123030300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.41% of renter households, peaking at 3.2% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27123030300 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.66× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27123030300 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27123030300 compare to St. Paul overall?
Tract 27123030300 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of St. Paul at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Paul eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 27123030300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 4% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Paul
Top eight tracts in St. Paul ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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