Northome Eviction Risk: Elevated , St. Paul
Tract 27123030202 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 2,019 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
With a score of 6.9/10, tract 27123030202 in the Northome area of St. Paul, MN reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,019. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across St. Paul and the region
Centroid at 44.9763, -93.1523 · click any tract to drill in
Why Northome scores 6.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Northome compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 32
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 47%Socioeconomic
- 2%Household composition
- 61%Racial/ethnic minority
- 64%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 2%Grade B
- 1%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 43Total filings over 7 yrs
- 0.83%Avg annual filing rate
- 0.9%Peak (2015)
- 8Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 195Total filings 2020-21
- 2.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 3.06×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Northome. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.1%Housing insecurity
- 6.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.9%Food insecurity
- 7.6%SNAP enrollment
- 8.3%Transit barriers
- 6.0%No health insurance
- 18.4%Frequent mental distress
- 22.0%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Northome
88% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. At $1,676 a month, rents run 31% over what the rest of St. Paul commands. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. Severe burden reaches 19%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Against the Ramsey County average of 5.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 43 filings here across 7 tracked years. SNAP participation runs 7.6% against 15.2% nationally.
The worst year on record was 2015, when 0.9% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 0.8% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 84th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 3.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 27123030202
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123030202?
What is the average rent in tract 27123030202?
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123030202?
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123030202?
Is tract 27123030202 considered part of Northome?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123030202?
Did eviction filings in tract 27123030202 drop during COVID?
What share of households in tract 27123030202 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 27123030202 compare to St. Paul overall?
Was tract 27123030202 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in St. Paul
Top eight tracts in St. Paul ranked by composite eviction-risk score.