Neighborhood · St. Paul, MN

Northome Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 14,244 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.5/10 · range 3.9–5.1

Northome is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in St. Paul with 3 census tracts and a population of 14,244 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 42% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 16% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,149/month sits 10% lower than the St. Paul citywide average ($1,281).

Risk score

4.5

Moderate

3 tracts · population-weighted

Northome vs St. Paul How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

41.9% +40%

St. Paul: 30.0%

Average gross rent

$1,149 -10%

St. Paul: $1,281

Average HH income

$91,504 +20%

St. Paul: $76,411

Poverty rate

9.8% -38%

St. Paul: 15.8%

Renter share

29.3% -38%

St. Paul: 47.1%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Northome and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3.9–5.1

Why Northome scores 4.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts

4.3

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts

7.3

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts

9.0

Rent control risk

42% of income on rent · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts

8.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts

7.5

Tenant organizing strength

29% renter households · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts

8.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts

7.5

Economic stress

9.8% below poverty line · Range 1.0–4.0 across tracts

2.5

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.2–4.9 across tracts

1.8

Risk score comparison

Northome vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Northome?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 1.2 points from 3.9 to 5.1. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.

Tracts as heat grid

5.1 5.0 3.9

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

3 tracts in Northome

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
27123030202	5.1	2,019	47%	$1,676
27123030201	5	5,550	33%	$1,074
27123030300	3.9	6,675	47%	$1,052

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 24

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 21%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 25%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 36%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 41%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Northome

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

157Total filings (sum)
1.60%Avg annual filing rate
3.2%Peak year (2015)
1.68%Latest filed (2015)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

239Total filings 2020-21
0.6Avg monthly observed
0.5Pre-pandemic baseline
0.96×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Northome

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

7.9%Housing insecurity
4.9%Utility shutoff threat
9.4%Food insecurity
6.1%SNAP enrollment
5.4%No health insurance
24.4%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Northome

What is the eviction-risk score for Northome?

Northome scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Northome compare to St. Paul overall?

Northome scores 2.1 points lower than St. Paul overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 42% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,149 vs $1,281.

What is the average rent in Northome?

Average gross rent in Northome is $1,149/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Northome residents are renters?

29% of Northome households are renter-occupied (vs 47% in St. Paul). The neighborhood has 14,244 residents.

Is Northome a high social-vulnerability area?

Northome sits in the 24th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Northome have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Northome is census tract 27123030202 (score 5.1/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.9 to 5.1, a spread of 1.2 points.

How safe is Northome for landlords?

Northome carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.5/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to St. Paul as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Northome?

Northome has 13,377 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (77.6%), Hispanic / Latino (7.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (6.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Northome

5.8 Rondo 16 tracts · pop 41,160 4.2 Lexington - Hamline 5 tracts · pop 16,644 5.2 Iris Park 3 tracts · pop 7,953 2.6 Northeast Quadrant 2 tracts · pop 6,985 2.9 Snelling West 3 tracts · pop 9,163 5.2 North End 5 tracts · pop 22,384

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside St. Paul

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Northome.

4.5 Summit Hill 3 tracts · pop 11,662 4.5 Merriam Park 3 tracts · pop 9,082 4.7 West Seventh - Fort Road 3 tracts · pop 7,781 4.2 Lexington - Hamline 5 tracts · pop 16,644 4.8 Shadow Falls 2 tracts · pop 5,519 4.1 North Saint Anthony Park 1 tracts · pop 4,833

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