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Neighborhood · St. Paul, MN

Northome Eviction Risk: Elevated

3 census tracts · pop 14,244 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.1/10 · range 5.2–6.9

Northome is a 3-tract neighborhood of St. Paul, MN, population 14,244. Scored across those inputs it reaches 6.1/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. 42% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the St. Paul rate of 30.0%.

The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 8.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10. The 3 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 5.2 to 6.9, a 1.7-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address.

On the softer side is supply constraint, at 1.8/10. The severe-burden share is 16%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Court records carry 157 eviction filings across its 3 observed tracts.

SNAP participation is 6.4% of households versus 15.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2015, when filings touched 3.2% of renter households. Average gross rent is $1,149, 10% below the St. Paul average of $1,281.

That places it #20 of 23 neighborhoods in St. Paul. Judgments average 0.7% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 6.1 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
6.1
Elevated
3 tracts · population-weighted
Northome vs St. Paul How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
41.9% +40%
St. Paul: 30.0%
Average gross rent
$1,149 -10%
St. Paul: $1,281
Average HH income
$91,504 +20%
St. Paul: $76,411
Poverty rate
9.8% -38%
St. Paul: 15.8%
Renter share
29.3% -38%
St. Paul: 47.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Northome and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 5.2–6.9

Why Northome scores 6.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts
9.0
Rent control risk
42% of income on rent · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
29% renter households · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Economic stress
9.8% below poverty line · Range 1.0–4.0 across tracts
2.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.2–4.9 across tracts
1.8
Risk score comparison

Northome vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Northome score vs. parent city, state, U.S.6.1NorthomeNeighborhood6.5Parent cityhost city4.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Northome?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.7 points from 5.2 to 6.9. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Northome

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
27123030202 6.9 2,019 47% $1,676
27123030201 6.8 5,550 33% $1,074
27123030300 5.2 6,675 47% $1,052
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 24

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 21%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 25%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 36%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 41%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Northome

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 157Total filings (sum)
  • 1.60%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.2%Peak year (2015)
  • 1.68%Latest filed (2015)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 239Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.6Avg monthly observed
  • 0.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.96×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Northome

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Northome

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Northome?

Northome scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Northome compare to St. Paul overall?

Northome scores 0.4 points lower than St. Paul overall (6.5/10). Renters spend 42% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,149 vs $1,281.
Q3

What is the average rent in Northome?

Average gross rent in Northome is $1,149/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Northome residents are renters?

29% of Northome households are renter-occupied (vs 47% in St. Paul). The neighborhood has 14,244 residents.
Q5

Is Northome a high social-vulnerability area?

Northome sits in the 24th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Northome have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Northome is census tract 27123030202 (score 6.9/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.2 to 6.9, a spread of 1.7 points.
Q7

How safe is Northome for landlords?

Northome carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.1/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to St. Paul as a whole (6.5/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Northome?

Northome has 13,377 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (77.6%), Hispanic / Latino (7.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (6.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Northome

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside St. Paul

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Northome.

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