Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,308 of 84,120 nationally
Lexington - Hamline Eviction Risk: Elevated , St. Paul
Tract 27123033800 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 1,766 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
With a score of 6.7/10, tract 27123033800 in the Lexington - Hamline area of St. Paul, MN reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,766. 34% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units701
Renter share26.2%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate15.5%
Median income$87,434
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
91
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Paul and the region
Centroid at 44.9484, -93.1396 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lexington - Hamline scores 6.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Paul
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
15.5% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,438 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Paul
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Paul
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Paul
7.5
How Lexington - Hamline compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 30
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 45%Socioeconomic
- 18%Household composition
- 55%Racial/ethnic minority
- 23%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 44%Grade B
- 37%Grade C
- 19%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 133Total filings over 7 yrs
- 5.86%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.5%Peak (2012)
- 11Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 42% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 66Total filings 2020-21
- 0.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.80×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lexington - Hamline. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.0%Housing insecurity
- 8.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.4%Food insecurity
- 10.4%SNAP enrollment
- 9.7%Transit barriers
- 7.6%No health insurance
- 17.9%Frequent mental distress
- 25.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lexington - Hamline
What pushes it up most is local political climate at 9/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. 54% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Ramsey County average of 47.3%.
Against the Ramsey County average of 5.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. Court records carry 133 eviction filings across 7 observed years. At $1,438 a month, rents run 12% over what the rest of St. Paul commands.
The worst year on record was 2012, when 7.5% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Paul. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 5.9% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 83rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 2.2 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 27123033800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123033800?
Census tract 27123033800 in the Lexington - Hamline neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27123033800?
Median gross rent is $1,438/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123033800?
15.5% of residents in tract 27123033800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,766.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123033800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 18th, minority 55th, housing 23th.
Q5
Is tract 27123033800 considered part of Lexington - Hamline?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27123033800 fall within Lexington - Hamline (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123033800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 133 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123033800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.86% of renter households, peaking at 7.5% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27123033800 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.80× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27123033800 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27123033800 compare to St. Paul overall?
Tract 27123033800 scores 6.7/10, right in line with the parent city of St. Paul at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Paul eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 27123033800 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 19% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Paul
Top eight tracts in St. Paul ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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