Neighborhood · St. Paul, MN

Lexington - Hamline Eviction Risk: Moderate

5 census tracts · pop 16,644 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.2/10 · range 3.6–5

Lexington - Hamline is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in St. Paul with 5 census tracts and a population of 16,644 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.2/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 40% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 17% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,386/month sits 8% higher than the St. Paul citywide average ($1,281).

Risk score

4.2

Moderate

5 tracts · population-weighted

Lexington - Hamline vs St. Paul How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

39.5% +32%

St. Paul: 30.0%

Average gross rent

$1,386 +8%

St. Paul: $1,281

Average HH income

$109,111 +43%

St. Paul: $76,411

Poverty rate

9.5% -40%

St. Paul: 15.8%

Renter share

37.9% -20%

St. Paul: 47.1%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lexington - Hamline and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 5 tracts span score 3.6–5

Why Lexington - Hamline scores 4.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts

4.3

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts

7.3

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts

9.0

Rent control risk

40% of income on rent · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts

8.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts

7.5

Tenant organizing strength

38% renter households · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts

8.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts

7.5

Economic stress

9.5% below poverty line · Range 1.6–3.9 across tracts

2.4

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.2–3.8 across tracts

3.2

Risk score comparison

Lexington - Hamline vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Lexington - Hamline?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 1.4 points from 3.6 to 5. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.

Tracts as heat grid

5.0 4.7 4.2 3.7 3.6

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

5 tracts in Lexington - Hamline

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
27123033800	5	1,766	54%	$1,438
27123042900	4.7	4,279	36%	$1,413
27123032300	4.2	3,897	50%	$1,440
27123035700	3.7	2,750	24%	$1,478
27123035300	3.6	3,952	37%	$1,218

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 21

Pop-weighted across 5 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 19%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 13%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 39%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 50%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Lexington - Hamline

Aggregated across 5 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

474Total filings (sum)
2.84%Avg annual filing rate
8.1%Peak year (2012)
2.27%Latest filed (2015)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

284Total filings 2020-21
0.8Avg monthly observed
0.9Pre-pandemic baseline
0.98×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Lexington - Hamline

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

8.6%Housing insecurity
5.3%Utility shutoff threat
9.9%Food insecurity
6.4%SNAP enrollment
5.4%No health insurance
22.4%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Lexington - Hamline

What is the eviction-risk score for Lexington - Hamline?

Lexington - Hamline scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Lexington - Hamline compare to St. Paul overall?

Lexington - Hamline scores 2.4 points lower than St. Paul overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 40% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,386 vs $1,281.

What is the average rent in Lexington - Hamline?

Average gross rent in Lexington - Hamline is $1,386/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Lexington - Hamline residents are renters?

38% of Lexington - Hamline households are renter-occupied (vs 47% in St. Paul). The neighborhood has 16,644 residents.

Is Lexington - Hamline a high social-vulnerability area?

Lexington - Hamline sits in the 21st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Lexington - Hamline have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Lexington - Hamline is census tract 27123033800 (score 5/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.6 to 5, a spread of 1.4 points.

How safe is Lexington - Hamline for landlords?

Lexington - Hamline carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.2/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to St. Paul as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Lexington - Hamline?

Lexington - Hamline has 17,173 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (69.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (13.6%), Other / Multiracial (7.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lexington - Hamline

5.8 Rondo 16 tracts · pop 41,160 5.2 Snelling - Hamline 3 tracts · pop 11,063 5.2 Iris Park 3 tracts · pop 7,953 4.4 Summit Hill 3 tracts · pop 11,662 4.5 Merriam Park 3 tracts · pop 9,082 4.7 West Seventh - Fort Road 3 tracts · pop 7,781

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside St. Paul

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Lexington - Hamline.

4.1 North Saint Anthony Park 1 tracts · pop 4,833 4.5 Northome 3 tracts · pop 14,244 4.5 Merriam Park 3 tracts · pop 9,082 4.5 Summit Hill 3 tracts · pop 11,662 3.9 Highland Village 5 tracts · pop 21,748 4.7 West Seventh - Fort Road 3 tracts · pop 7,781

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