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Neighborhood · Ranked #46,312 of 84,120 nationally

Lexington - Hamline Eviction Risk: Lower , St. Paul

Tract 27123035700 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 2,750 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Census tract 27123035700 covers the Lexington - Hamline area of St. Paul, home to 2,750 residents. For landlords it grades 5.6/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than roughly 61% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

24% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,478 monthly, set against $127,109 in average yearly household income, roughly 14% of income at the averages. About 40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 30% Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units1,095
Renter share39.9%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate6.4%
Median income$127,109

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 5 tracts In Lexington - Hamline
Low
Within parent city
2 th percentile
Rank, 2nd percentileLowHigh
#83 of 85 tracts In St. Paul
Very Low
Within county
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#95 of 143 tracts In Ramsey County
Low
Within state
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#675 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across St. Paul and the region

Centroid at 44.9365, -93.1373 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lexington - Hamline scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from St. Paul
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
6.4% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,478 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Paul
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Paul
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Paul
7.5

How Lexington - Hamline compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lexington - Hamline risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.73.7This tracttract 035700St. Paul: 6.66.6St. Paulparent cityCounty: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 8

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 30Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 1.19%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.8%Peak (2009)
  • 4Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 271230357002009: 6 filings (1.81/100 renter HHs)2010: 2 filings (0.51/100 renter HHs)2011: 5 filings (1.36/100 renter HHs)2012: 5 filings (1.36/100 renter HHs)2013: 5 filings (1.36/100 renter HHs)2014: 3 filings (0.82/100 renter HHs)2015: 4 filings (1.09/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 33% over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 21Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.3Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.47×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 3 filings (7.89× baseline)2020-02-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 1 filings (2.63× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 1 filings (2.63× baseline)2022-07-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 1 filings (2.63× baseline)2022-10-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 1 filings (2.63× baseline)2024-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 1 filings (2.63× baseline)2025-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 1 filings (2.63× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 1 filings (2.63× baseline)2025-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lexington - Hamline. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lexington - Hamline

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from St. Paul eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Ramsey County average of 6.0 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 8th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 27123035700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123035700?

Census tract 27123035700 in the Lexington - Hamline neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27123035700?

Median gross rent is $1,478/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27123035700?

6.4% of residents in tract 27123035700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,750.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27123035700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 22th, minority 21th, housing 32th.
Q5

Is tract 27123035700 considered part of Lexington - Hamline?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27123035700 fall within Lexington - Hamline (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123035700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 30 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123035700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.19% of renter households, peaking at 1.8% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 27123035700 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.47× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 27123035700 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 27123035700 compare to St. Paul overall?

Tract 27123035700 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of St. Paul at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Paul eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10

Was tract 27123035700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in St. Paul

Top eight tracts in St. Paul ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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