Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Summit Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Paul
Tract 27123036600 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 4,046 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
27123036600 is a census tract in the Summit Hill area of St. Paul, MN. It scores 5.1/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,046 residents. Severe burden reaches 32%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units1,869
Renter share17.8%
SVI overall0.10
Poverty rate5.4%
Median income$115,869
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
6
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
41
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
72
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Paul and the region
Centroid at 44.9229, -93.1518 · click any tract to drill in
Why Summit Hill scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Paul
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
5.4% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,425 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Paul
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Paul
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Paul
7.5
How Summit Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 10
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 11%Socioeconomic
- 9%Household composition
- 14%Racial/ethnic minority
- 34%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 18%Grade A
- 46%Grade B
- 3%Grade C
- 10%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 97Total filings over 7 yrs
- 3.14%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.9%Peak (2014)
- 17Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 61Total filings 2020-21
- 0.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.95×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Summit Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.6%Housing insecurity
- 3.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.3%Food insecurity
- 3.7%SNAP enrollment
- 4.5%Transit barriers
- 4.1%No health insurance
- 13.1%Frequent mental distress
- 22.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Summit Hill
The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.4/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10.
SNAP participation runs 3.7% against 15.2% nationally. Against Ramsey County at 47.3%, 53% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Housing insecurity runs 5.6% against 14.2% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 97 filings here across 7 tracked years.
Average gross rent is $1,425, 11% above the St. Paul average. The worst year on record was 2014, when 3.9% of renter households were served.
This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Paul. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 3.1% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 63rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 27123036600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123036600?
Census tract 27123036600 in the Summit Hill neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27123036600?
Median gross rent is $1,425/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123036600?
5.4% of residents in tract 27123036600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,046.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123036600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 9th, minority 14th, housing 34th.
Q5
Is tract 27123036600 considered part of Summit Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27123036600 fall within Summit Hill (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123036600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 97 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123036600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.14% of renter households, peaking at 3.9% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27123036600 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.95× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27123036600 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27123036600 compare to St. Paul overall?
Tract 27123036600 scores 5.1/10, lower than the parent city of St. Paul at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Paul eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 27123036600 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 10% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Paul
Top eight tracts in St. Paul ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MN
Rondo
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Eastview
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Rondo
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Eastview
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Payne - Phalen
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Payne - Phalen
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Snelling - Hamline
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
North End
7.9
/ 10 · High
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