Neighborhood · St. Paul, MN

Summit Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 11,662 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.5/10 · range 3.7–5.2

Summit Hill is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in St. Paul with 3 census tracts and a population of 11,662 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 43% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 24% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,395/month sits 9% higher than the St. Paul citywide average ($1,281).

Risk score

4.5

Moderate

3 tracts · population-weighted

Summit Hill vs St. Paul How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

42.5% +42%

St. Paul: 30.0%

Average gross rent

$1,395 +9%

St. Paul: $1,281

Average HH income

$90,682 +19%

St. Paul: $76,411

Poverty rate

9.9% -37%

St. Paul: 15.8%

Renter share

31.8% -33%

St. Paul: 47.1%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Summit Hill and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3.7–5.2

Why Summit Hill scores 4.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts

4.3

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts

7.3

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts

9.0

Rent control risk

43% of income on rent · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts

8.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts

7.5

Tenant organizing strength

32% renter households · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts

8.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts

7.5

Economic stress

9.9% below poverty line · Range 1.4–3.5 across tracts

2.5

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.0–3.6 across tracts

3.3

Risk score comparison

Summit Hill vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Summit Hill?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 1.5 points from 3.7 to 5.2. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.

Tracts as heat grid

5.2 4.4 3.7

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

3 tracts in Summit Hill

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
27123036700	5.2	5,587	43%	$1,452
27123036800	4.4	2,029	21%	$1,181
27123036600	3.7	4,046	53%	$1,425

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 32

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 28%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 19%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 30%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 56%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Summit Hill

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

361Total filings (sum)
2.98%Avg annual filing rate
5.6%Peak year (2014)
2.78%Latest filed (2015)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

271Total filings 2020-21
1.4Avg monthly observed
1.2Pre-pandemic baseline
1.09×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Summit Hill

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

8.1%Housing insecurity
5.0%Utility shutoff threat
9.6%Food insecurity
6.2%SNAP enrollment
5.7%No health insurance
25.0%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Summit Hill

What is the eviction-risk score for Summit Hill?

Summit Hill scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Summit Hill compare to St. Paul overall?

Summit Hill scores 2.1 points lower than St. Paul overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 43% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,395 vs $1,281.

What is the average rent in Summit Hill?

Average gross rent in Summit Hill is $1,395/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Summit Hill residents are renters?

32% of Summit Hill households are renter-occupied (vs 47% in St. Paul). The neighborhood has 11,662 residents.

Is Summit Hill a high social-vulnerability area?

Summit Hill sits in the 32nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Summit Hill have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Summit Hill is census tract 27123036700 (score 5.2/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.7 to 5.2, a spread of 1.5 points.

How safe is Summit Hill for landlords?

Summit Hill carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.5/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to St. Paul as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Summit Hill?

Summit Hill has 11,688 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (80.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (8.6%), Other / Multiracial (4.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Summit Hill

4.2 Lexington - Hamline 5 tracts · pop 16,644 4.7 West Seventh - Fort Road 3 tracts · pop 7,781 5.2 Snelling - Hamline 3 tracts · pop 11,063 3.9 Highland Village 5 tracts · pop 21,748 5.8 Rondo 16 tracts · pop 41,160 5.9 Highland 2 tracts · pop 5,837

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside St. Paul

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Summit Hill.

4.5 Northome 3 tracts · pop 14,244 4.5 Merriam Park 3 tracts · pop 9,082 4.7 West Seventh - Fort Road 3 tracts · pop 7,781 4.2 Lexington - Hamline 5 tracts · pop 16,644 4.8 Shadow Falls 2 tracts · pop 5,519 4.1 North Saint Anthony Park 1 tracts · pop 4,833

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