Neighborhood · Ranked #12,919 of 84,120 nationally

Summit Hill Eviction Risk: Elevated , St. Paul

Tract 27123036700 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 5,587 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

27123036700 is a census tract in the Summit Hill area of St. Paul, MN. It scores 7/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,587 residents. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9/10.

Risk score

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 27% Owners 53%

Tract context

Occupied units2,608

Renter share47.1%

SVI overall0.56

Poverty rate14.1%

Median income$73,298

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across St. Paul and the region

Centroid at 44.9188, -93.1403 · click any tract to drill in

Why Summit Hill scores 7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from St. Paul

9.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.3

State political climate

Minnesota legislature & governorship

4.3

Economic stress

14.1% poverty · this tract

3.5

Supply constraint

$1,452 rent vs county FMR

3.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from St. Paul

8.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from St. Paul

8.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from St. Paul

7.5

How Summit Hill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 56

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

43%Socioeconomic
32%Household composition
44%Racial/ethnic minority
85%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
33%Grade B
9%Grade C
46%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

156Total filings over 7 yrs
2.28%Avg annual filing rate
4.6%Peak (2009)
23Filings in 2015 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2009 to 2015

Filings dropped 34% over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

154Total filings 2020-21
2.0Avg monthly (observed)
1.5Pre-pandemic baseline
1.32×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Summit Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

9.4%Housing insecurity
6.0%Utility-shutoff threat
11.7%Food insecurity
7.9%SNAP enrollment
7.6%Transit barriers
6.5%No health insurance
16.2%Frequent mental distress
27.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Summit Hill

24% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10.

It sits 1.4 points above the Ramsey County average of 5.6. Court records carry 156 eviction filings across 7 observed years. Against Ramsey County at 47.3%, 43% of renters here are cost-burdened.

At $1,452 a month, rents run 13% over what the rest of St. Paul commands. SNAP participation runs 7.9% against 15.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2009, when 4.6% of renter households were served.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 2.3% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #12,919 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 6.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 27123036700

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123036700?

Census tract 27123036700 in the Summit Hill neighborhood scores 7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 27123036700?

Median gross rent is $1,452/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 27123036700?

14.1% of residents in tract 27123036700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,587.

How socially vulnerable is tract 27123036700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 32th, minority 44th, housing 85th.

Is tract 27123036700 considered part of Summit Hill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27123036700 fall within Summit Hill (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123036700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 156 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123036700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.28% of renter households, peaking at 4.6% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Did eviction filings in tract 27123036700 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.32× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.

What share of households in tract 27123036700 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 27123036700 compare to St. Paul overall?

Tract 27123036700 scores 7/10, higher than the parent city of St. Paul at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Paul eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q10

Was tract 27123036700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 46% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in St. Paul

Top eight tracts in St. Paul ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org