Neighborhood · Ranked #15,451 of 84,120 nationally

West Seventh - Fort Road Eviction Risk: Elevated , St. Paul

Tract 27123036900 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 2,393 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 27123036900 covers part of the West Seventh - Fort Road area of St. Paul, MN, and scores 6.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Cost burden runs around two-thirds here against 47.3% across Ramsey County.

Risk score

6.5

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 17% Owners 50%

Tract context

Occupied units1,222

Renter share49.8%

SVI overall0.50

Poverty rate6.8%

Median income$61,268

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across St. Paul and the region

Centroid at 44.9288, -93.1233 · click any tract to drill in

Why West Seventh - Fort Road scores 6.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from St. Paul

9.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.3

State political climate

Minnesota legislature & governorship

4.3

Economic stress

6.8% poverty · this tract

1.7

Supply constraint

$1,435 rent vs county FMR

3.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from St. Paul

8.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from St. Paul

8.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from St. Paul

7.5

How West Seventh - Fort Road compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 50

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

45%Socioeconomic
49%Household composition
25%Racial/ethnic minority
63%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
13%Grade B
0%Grade C
79%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

115Total filings over 7 yrs
4.10%Avg annual filing rate
5.4%Peak (2015)
24Filings in 2015 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2009 to 2015

Filings climbed 26% over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

124Total filings 2020-21
1.6Avg monthly (observed)
1.3Pre-pandemic baseline
1.22×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within West Seventh - Fort Road. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

9.3%Housing insecurity
5.5%Utility-shutoff threat
10.8%Food insecurity
6.8%SNAP enrollment
7.0%Transit barriers
6.6%No health insurance
16.0%Frequent mental distress
25.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in West Seventh - Fort Road

The dominant input is local political climate at 9/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10.

Severe burden reaches 18%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. It sits 0.9 points above the Ramsey County average of 5.6.

The filing record is not thin: 115 evictions over 7 years of observation. SNAP participation runs 6.8% against 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity runs 10.8% against 17.8% nationally. At $1,435 a month, rents run 12% over what the rest of St. Paul commands.

Filings peaked in 2015 at 5.4% of renter households. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Paul. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 4.1% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 82% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 27123036900

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123036900?

Census tract 27123036900 in the West Seventh - Fort Road neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 27123036900?

Median gross rent is $1,435/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 27123036900?

6.8% of residents in tract 27123036900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,393.

How socially vulnerable is tract 27123036900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 49th, minority 25th, housing 63th.

Is tract 27123036900 considered part of West Seventh - Fort Road?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27123036900 fall within West Seventh - Fort Road (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123036900?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 115 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123036900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.10% of renter households, peaking at 5.4% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Did eviction filings in tract 27123036900 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.22× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.

What share of households in tract 27123036900 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 27123036900 compare to St. Paul overall?

Tract 27123036900 scores 6.5/10, right in line with the parent city of St. Paul at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Paul eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q10

Was tract 27123036900 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 79% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in St. Paul

Top eight tracts in St. Paul ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org