Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #15,451 of 84,120 nationally
West Seventh - Fort Road Eviction Risk: Elevated , St. Paul
Tract 27123036000 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 2,677 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 27123036000 covers part of the West Seventh - Fort Road area of St. Paul, MN, and scores 6.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Average gross rent is $1,870, 46% above the St. Paul average.
Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 42%
Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units1,578
Renter share63.0%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate17.2%
Median income$102,885
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
38
th percentile
Low
Within county
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
90
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Paul and the region
Centroid at 44.9317, -93.1117 · click any tract to drill in
Why West Seventh - Fort Road scores 6.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Paul
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
17.2% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$1,870 rent vs county FMR
6.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Paul
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Paul
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Paul
7.5
How West Seventh - Fort Road compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 54
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 25%Socioeconomic
- 35%Household composition
- 39%Racial/ethnic minority
- 96%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 36%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 89Total filings over 7 yrs
- 1.82%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.2%Peak (2010)
- 15Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 88% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 144Total filings 2020-21
- 1.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.29×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within West Seventh - Fort Road. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.9%Housing insecurity
- 5.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.6%Food insecurity
- 7.3%SNAP enrollment
- 7.1%Transit barriers
- 5.7%No health insurance
- 15.6%Frequent mental distress
- 23.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in West Seventh - Fort Road
roughly one in three of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Ramsey County average of 47.3%. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9/10.
Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
It sits 0.9 points above the Ramsey County average of 5.6. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 89 filings here across 7 tracked years. SNAP participation runs 7.3% against 15.2% nationally.
Food insecurity runs 10.6% against 17.8% nationally. Filings peaked in 2010 at 2.2% of renter households.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 1.8% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 82% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 27123036000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123036000?
Census tract 27123036000 in the West Seventh - Fort Road neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27123036000?
Median gross rent is $1,870/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123036000?
17.2% of residents in tract 27123036000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,677.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123036000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 35th, minority 39th, housing 96th.
Q5
Is tract 27123036000 considered part of West Seventh - Fort Road?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27123036000 fall within West Seventh - Fort Road (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123036000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 89 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123036000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.82% of renter households, peaking at 2.2% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27123036000 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.29× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27123036000 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27123036000 compare to St. Paul overall?
Tract 27123036000 scores 6.5/10, right in line with the parent city of St. Paul at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Paul eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 27123036000 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 36% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Paul
Top eight tracts in St. Paul ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MN
South Saint Anthony Park
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Rondo
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Highwood Hills
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Iris Park
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Rondo
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Payne - Phalen
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Highland
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Rondo
7.9
/ 10 · High
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