Neighborhood · St. Paul, MN

West Seventh - Fort Road Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 7,781 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.7/10 · range 4.3–4.9

West Seventh - Fort Road is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in St. Paul with 3 census tracts and a population of 7,781 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.7/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 45% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 17% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,652/month sits 29% higher than the St. Paul citywide average ($1,281).

Risk score

4.7

Moderate

3 tracts · population-weighted

West Seventh - Fort Road vs St. Paul How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

45.3% +51%

St. Paul: 30.0%

Average gross rent

$1,652 +29%

St. Paul: $1,281

Average HH income

$85,706 +12%

St. Paul: $76,411

Poverty rate

9.9% -37%

St. Paul: 15.8%

Renter share

45.1% -4%

St. Paul: 47.1%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across West Seventh - Fort Road and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 4.3–4.9

Why West Seventh - Fort Road scores 4.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts

4.3

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts

7.3

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts

9.0

Rent control risk

45% of income on rent · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts

8.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts

7.5

Tenant organizing strength

45% renter households · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts

8.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts

7.5

Economic stress

9.9% below poverty line · Range 1.4–4.3 across tracts

2.5

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.5–6.1 across tracts

4.8

Risk score comparison

West Seventh - Fort Road vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in West Seventh - Fort Road?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 0.6 points from 4.3 to 4.9. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.

Tracts as heat grid

4.9 4.9 4.3

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

3 tracts in West Seventh - Fort Road

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
27123036000	4.9	2,677	33%	$1,870
27123036900	4.9	2,393	65%	$1,435
27123037000	4.3	2,711	40%	$1,629

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 45

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 36%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 44%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 33%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 60%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in West Seventh - Fort Road

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

357Total filings (sum)
5.55%Avg annual filing rate
15.0%Peak year (2015)
7.65%Latest filed (2015)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

312Total filings 2020-21
1.3Avg monthly observed
1.4Pre-pandemic baseline
0.98×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in West Seventh - Fort Road

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

9.1%Housing insecurity
5.5%Utility shutoff threat
10.6%Food insecurity
6.8%SNAP enrollment
6.5%No health insurance
24.3%Any disability

Frequently asked

About West Seventh - Fort Road

What is the eviction-risk score for West Seventh - Fort Road?

West Seventh - Fort Road scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does West Seventh - Fort Road compare to St. Paul overall?

West Seventh - Fort Road scores 1.9 points lower than St. Paul overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,652 vs $1,281.

What is the average rent in West Seventh - Fort Road?

Average gross rent in West Seventh - Fort Road is $1,652/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of West Seventh - Fort Road residents are renters?

45% of West Seventh - Fort Road households are renter-occupied (vs 47% in St. Paul). The neighborhood has 7,781 residents.

Is West Seventh - Fort Road a high social-vulnerability area?

West Seventh - Fort Road sits in the 45th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in West Seventh - Fort Road have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in West Seventh - Fort Road is census tract 27123036000 (score 4.9/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.3 to 4.9, a spread of 0.6 points.

How safe is West Seventh - Fort Road for landlords?

West Seventh - Fort Road carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.7/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to St. Paul as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of West Seventh - Fort Road?

West Seventh - Fort Road has 7,837 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (79.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (7.4%), Other / Multiracial (5.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near West Seventh - Fort Road

4.4 Summit Hill 3 tracts · pop 11,662 5.8 Rondo 16 tracts · pop 41,160 5.3 West Side 2 tracts · pop 10,675 4.2 Lexington - Hamline 5 tracts · pop 16,644 5.4 Downtown 3 tracts · pop 8,009 5.2 Snelling - Hamline 3 tracts · pop 11,063

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside St. Paul

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to West Seventh - Fort Road.

4.8 Shadow Falls 2 tracts · pop 5,519 4.5 Northome 3 tracts · pop 14,244 4.5 Merriam Park 3 tracts · pop 9,082 4.9 Greater East Side 2 tracts · pop 10,678 4.5 Summit Hill 3 tracts · pop 11,662 5.1 Conway 2 tracts · pop 8,781

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