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Neighborhood · St. Paul, MN

West Seventh - Fort Road Eviction Risk: Elevated

3 census tracts · pop 7,781 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.2/10 · range 5.7–6.5

West Seventh - Fort Road takes in 3 census tracts of St. Paul, MN, population 7,781. The Eviction Risk Score is 6.2/10, in the Elevated tier. Cost burden runs 45% against 30.0% citywide, putting West Seventh - Fort Road 15.3% over its own city.

The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 8.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,652, 29% above the St. Paul average of $1,281.

Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10. The severe-burden share is 17%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Court records carry 357 eviction filings across its 3 observed tracts. On the high side is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10.

The worst year on record was 2015, when filings touched 15.0% of renter households. SNAP participation is 6.8% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

Among the 23 mapped neighborhoods of St. Paul, it ranks #18 by risk, the lower third. Judgments average 2.3% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. The closest comparables inside the same city are Summit Hill and Merriam Park.

The 3 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.8 points apart at the extremes. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $85,706.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
6.2
Elevated
3 tracts · population-weighted
West Seventh - Fort Road vs St. Paul How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
45.3% +51%
St. Paul: 30.0%
Average gross rent
$1,652 +29%
St. Paul: $1,281
Average HH income
$85,706 +12%
St. Paul: $76,411
Poverty rate
9.9% -37%
St. Paul: 15.8%
Renter share
45.1% -4%
St. Paul: 47.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across West Seventh - Fort Road and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 5.7–6.5

Why West Seventh - Fort Road scores 6.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts
9.0
Rent control risk
45% of income on rent · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
45% renter households · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Economic stress
9.9% below poverty line · Range 1.4–4.3 across tracts
2.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.5–6.1 across tracts
4.8
Risk score comparison

West Seventh - Fort Road vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

West Seventh - Fort Road score vs. parent city, state, U.S.6.2West Seventh - ForNeighborhood6.5Parent cityhost city4.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in West Seventh - Fort Road?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.8 points from 5.7 to 6.5. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in West Seventh - Fort Road

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
27123036000 6.5 2,677 33% $1,870
27123036900 6.5 2,393 65% $1,435
27123037000 5.7 2,711 40% $1,629
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 45

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 36%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 44%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 33%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 60%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in West Seventh - Fort Road

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 357Total filings (sum)
  • 5.55%Avg annual filing rate
  • 15.0%Peak year (2015)
  • 7.65%Latest filed (2015)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 312Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.3Avg monthly observed
  • 1.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.98×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in West Seventh - Fort Road

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About West Seventh - Fort Road

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for West Seventh - Fort Road?

West Seventh - Fort Road scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does West Seventh - Fort Road compare to St. Paul overall?

West Seventh - Fort Road scores 0.3 points lower than St. Paul overall (6.5/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,652 vs $1,281.
Q3

What is the average rent in West Seventh - Fort Road?

Average gross rent in West Seventh - Fort Road is $1,652/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of West Seventh - Fort Road residents are renters?

45% of West Seventh - Fort Road households are renter-occupied (vs 47% in St. Paul). The neighborhood has 7,781 residents.
Q5

Is West Seventh - Fort Road a high social-vulnerability area?

West Seventh - Fort Road sits in the 45th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in West Seventh - Fort Road have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in West Seventh - Fort Road is census tract 27123036000 (score 6.5/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.7 to 6.5, a spread of 0.8 points.
Q7

How safe is West Seventh - Fort Road for landlords?

West Seventh - Fort Road carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.2/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to St. Paul as a whole (6.5/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of West Seventh - Fort Road?

West Seventh - Fort Road has 7,837 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (79.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (7.4%), Other / Multiracial (5.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near West Seventh - Fort Road

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside St. Paul

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to West Seventh - Fort Road.

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