Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally
Vadnais Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 27123040606 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 3,321 · 96% of tract blocks fall in Vadnais Heights
Tract 27123040606 sits in Vadnais Heights, MN, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.5/10. It is home to 3,321 residents. Cost burden runs 68% here against 47.3% across Ramsey County.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units1,699
Renter share47.6%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate11.6%
Median income$61,688
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
32
th percentile
Low
Within state
61
th percentile
Elevated
National
51
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Vadnais Heights and the region
Centroid at 45.0446, -93.0425 · click any tract to drill in
Why Vadnais Heights scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Vadnais Heights
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
11.6% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,352 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Vadnais Heights
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Vadnais Heights
4.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Vadnais Heights
5.5
How Vadnais Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 54
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 38%Socioeconomic
- 63%Household composition
- 59%Racial/ethnic minority
- 61%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 112Total filings 2020-21
- 1.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.84×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.3%Housing insecurity
- 7.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.9%Food insecurity
- 11.9%SNAP enrollment
- 9.6%Transit barriers
- 8.3%No health insurance
- 17.2%Frequent mental distress
- 31.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Vadnais Heights
Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 7.6/10.
On the high side, local political climate reads 7.5/10. It sits 1.1 points below the Ramsey County average of 5.6.
Running hot, regional political climate reads 7.3/10. On the national scale it lands near the 51st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Average gross rent is $1,352, close to the Vadnais Heights average. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $61,688.
48% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 27123040606
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123040606?
Census tract 27123040606 in Vadnais Heights scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27123040606?
Median gross rent is $1,352/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123040606?
11.6% of residents in tract 27123040606 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,321.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123040606?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 63th, minority 59th, housing 61th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 27123040606 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.84× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q6
What share of households in tract 27123040606 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 27123040606 compare to Vadnais Heights overall?
Tract 27123040606 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Vadnais Heights at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Vadnais Heights; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Vadnais Heights
Top eight tracts in Vadnais Heights ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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