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Census Tract · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally

North St. Paul Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 27123042700 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 5,664

Tract 27123042700 sits in North St. Paul, MN, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.9/10. It is home to 5,664 residents. Against the Ramsey County average of 5.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.7 points.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 12% Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units2,110
Renter share27.1%
SVI overall0.63
Poverty rate13.2%
Median income$90,282

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In North St. Paul
Very Low
Within county
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#112 of 143 tracts In Ramsey County
Low
Within state
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#809 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Moderate
National
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#50,654 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across North St. Paul and the region

Centroid at 45.0051, -92.9998 · click any tract to drill in

Why North St. Paul scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from North St. Paul
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
13.2% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,283 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from North St. Paul
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from North St. Paul
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from North St. Paul
4.4

How North St. Paul compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
North St. Paul risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.9This tracttract 0427004.0North St. Paulparent city5.6Countyavg tract in county4.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 63

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 259Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 6.12%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.5%Peak (2012)
  • 35Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 27123042700
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 177Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.3Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.15×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in North St. Paul

17% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 7.5/10.

55% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Ramsey County average of 47.3%. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.6/10. On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.3/10.

Court records carry 259 eviction filings across 7 observed years. The worst year on record was 2012, when 10.5% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 6.1% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 40th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $90,282, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 27123042700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123042700?

Census tract 27123042700 in North St. Paul scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27123042700?

Median gross rent is $1,283/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27123042700?

13.2% of residents in tract 27123042700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,664.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27123042700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 76th, minority 61th, housing 62th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123042700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 259 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123042700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.12% of renter households, peaking at 10.5% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 27123042700 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.15× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q7

What share of households in tract 27123042700 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 27123042700 compare to North St. Paul overall?

Tract 27123042700 scores 3.9/10, right in line with the parent city of North St. Paul at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from North St. Paul eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in North St. Paul

Top eight tracts in North St. Paul ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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