Shadow Falls Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Paul

The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10. At $994 a month, rents run 22% under what the rest of St. Paul commands. Food insecurity runs 6.4% against 17.8% nationally.

Housing insecurity runs 5.5% against 14.2% nationally. This ground was mapped A ("Best") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Paul. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 74th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.8/10. Rent consumes only 11% of average household income of $112,500, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

It tracks the Ramsey County average of 5.6 closely. 47% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.