Within parent city
40
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #80,791 of 84,120 nationally
Cottage Grove Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27163071211 · Washington County, MN · pop 5,242
Cottage Grove anchors census tract 27163071211, which lands at 4.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 26% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 17% of renter households, a modest level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,079 a month against an average household income of $143,144 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. Renters make up 12% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,784
Renter share11.9%
SVI overall0.03
Poverty rate6.0%
Median income$143,144
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
26
th percentile
Low
Within state
11
th percentile
Very Low
National
4
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Cottage Grove and the region
Centroid at 44.8521, -92.9549 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cottage Grove scores 1.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Cottage Grove
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
6.0% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$2,079 rent vs county FMR
7.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cottage Grove
7.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cottage Grove
3.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cottage Grove
5.3
How Cottage Grove compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 3
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 3%Socioeconomic
- 22%Household composition
- 31%Racial/ethnic minority
- 4%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.6%Housing insecurity
- 4.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.5%Food insecurity
- 5.2%SNAP enrollment
- 5.5%Transit barriers
- 5.3%No health insurance
- 13.7%Frequent mental distress
- 20.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cottage Grove
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 7.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Cottage Grove eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Washington County average of 5.1 and below the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 7.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 3rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 27163071211
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27163071211?
Census tract 27163071211 in Cottage Grove scores 1.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27163071211?
Median gross rent is $2,079/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 17% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27163071211?
6.0% of residents in tract 27163071211 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,242.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27163071211?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 3th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 22th, minority 31th, housing 4th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 27163071211 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 27163071211 compare to Cottage Grove overall?
Tract 27163071211 scores 1.3/10, lower than the parent city of Cottage Grove at 4.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cottage Grove eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Cottage Grove
Top eight tracts in Cottage Grove ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related