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Census Tract · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally

Cottage Grove Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 27163071211 · Washington County, MN · pop 5,242

27163071211 is a census tract in Cottage Grove, MN. It scores 3.5/10 for landlords. Population here is 5,242. 17% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Washington County average of 44.0%.

Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 10% Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,784
Renter share11.9%
SVI overall0.03
Poverty rate6.0%
Median income$143,144

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 6 tracts In Cottage Grove
Moderate
Within county
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#37 of 59 tracts In Washington County
Low
Within state
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#997 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Low
National
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#57,812 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Cottage Grove and the region

Centroid at 44.8521, -92.9549 · click any tract to drill in

Why Cottage Grove scores 3.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Cottage Grove
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
6.0% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$2,079 rent vs county FMR
7.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cottage Grove
7.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cottage Grove
3.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cottage Grove
5.3

How Cottage Grove compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Cottage Grove risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.5This tracttract 0712114.0Cottage Groveparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 3

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Cottage Grove

The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.5/10. The voucher gap is 23.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Severe burden reaches 17%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.7/10. SNAP participation runs 5.2% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 8.5% against 17.8% nationally.

Average gross rent is $2,079, 17% above the Cottage Grove average. Running hot, supply constraint reads 7.3/10.

On the national scale it lands near the 31st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 12% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $143,144, annual rent is just 17%.

Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 27163071211

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27163071211?

Census tract 27163071211 in Cottage Grove scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27163071211?

Median gross rent is $2,079/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 17% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27163071211?

6.0% of residents in tract 27163071211 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,242.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27163071211?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 3th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 22th, minority 31th, housing 4th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 27163071211 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 27163071211 compare to Cottage Grove overall?

Tract 27163071211 scores 3.5/10, lower than the parent city of Cottage Grove at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cottage Grove eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Cottage Grove

Top eight tracts in Cottage Grove ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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