Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #61,558 of 84,120 nationally
Lily Lake Eviction Risk: Lower , Stillwater
Tract 27163070501 · Washington County, MN · pop 3,063 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
With a score of 3.3/10, tract 27163070501 in the Lily Lake area of Stillwater, MN reads lower for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 39%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,280
Renter share12.7%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate3.5%
Median income$139,464
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
22
th percentile
Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Stillwater and the region
Centroid at 45.0631, -92.8400 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lily Lake scores 3.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Stillwater
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
3.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,508 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Stillwater
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Stillwater
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Stillwater
5.3
How Lily Lake compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 15
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 7%Socioeconomic
- 21%Household composition
- 11%Racial/ethnic minority
- 53%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 14Total filings over 3 yrs
- 5.47%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.3%Peak (2012)
- 8Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lily Lake. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.3%Housing insecurity
- 3.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.7%Food insecurity
- 3.7%SNAP enrollment
- 4.2%Transit barriers
- 4.1%No health insurance
- 12.0%Frequent mental distress
- 22.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lily Lake
Cost burden runs 60% here against 44.0% across Washington County. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.
Food insecurity runs 5.7% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 3.7% against 15.2% nationally.
Court records carry 14 eviction filings across 3 observed years. It sits 0.8 points below the Washington County average of 4.1.
Filings peaked in 2012 at 9.3% of renter households. In a typical year about 5.5% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 27% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 13% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.4/10.
Against average income of $139,464, annual rent is just 13%. Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 27163070501
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27163070501?
Census tract 27163070501 in the Lily Lake neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27163070501?
Median gross rent is $1,508/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27163070501?
3.5% of residents in tract 27163070501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,063.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27163070501?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 21th, minority 11th, housing 53th.
Q5
Is tract 27163070501 considered part of Lily Lake?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27163070501 fall within Lily Lake (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27163070501?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 14 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 27163070501 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.47% of renter households, peaking at 9.3% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 27163070501 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 27163070501 compare to Stillwater overall?
Tract 27163070501 scores 3.3/10, lower than the parent city of Stillwater at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Stillwater; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Stillwater
Top eight tracts in Stillwater ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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