Neighborhood · Stillwater, MN

Lily Lake Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 7,100 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2/10 · range 1.4–2.5

Lily Lake is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Stillwater with 2 census tracts and a population of 7,100 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 58% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 26% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,616/month sits 0% lower than the Stillwater citywide average ($1,622).

Risk score

Lower

2 tracts · population-weighted

Lily Lake vs Stillwater How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

57.9% +96%

Stillwater: 29.6%

Average gross rent

$1,616 0%

Stillwater: $1,622

Average HH income

$120,426 +10%

Stillwater: $109,297

Poverty rate

8.6% +12%

Stillwater: 7.7%

Renter share

15.6% -33%

Stillwater: 23.3%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lily Lake and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 1.4–2.5

Why Lily Lake scores 2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts

4.3

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts

5.9

Rent control risk

58% of income on rent · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts

6.4

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts

4.1

Tenant organizing strength

16% renter households · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts

5.3

Economic stress

8.6% below poverty line · Range 1.0–3.1 across tracts

2.2

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.0–5.1 across tracts

4.6

Risk score comparison

Lily Lake vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

2 tracts in Lily Lake

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
27163070604	2.5	4,037	56%	$1,698
27163070501	1.4	3,063	60%	$1,508

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 22

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 20%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 30%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 24%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 38%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Lily Lake

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

14Total filings (sum)
5.47%Avg annual filing rate
9.3%Peak year (2012)
9.30%Latest filed (2012)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Lily Lake

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

6.0%Housing insecurity
4.0%Utility shutoff threat
6.9%Food insecurity
4.6%SNAP enrollment
4.7%No health insurance
23.8%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Lily Lake

What is the eviction-risk score for Lily Lake?

Lily Lake scores 2/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Lily Lake compare to Stillwater overall?

Lily Lake scores 2.8 points lower than Stillwater overall (4.8/10). Renters spend 58% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,616 vs $1,622.

What is the average rent in Lily Lake?

Average gross rent in Lily Lake is $1,616/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Lily Lake residents are renters?

16% of Lily Lake households are renter-occupied (vs 23% in Stillwater). The neighborhood has 7,100 residents.

Is Lily Lake a high social-vulnerability area?

Lily Lake sits in the 22nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Lily Lake have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Lily Lake is census tract 27163070604 (score 2.5/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 1.4 to 2.5, a spread of 1.1 points.

How safe is Lily Lake for landlords?

Lily Lake carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Stillwater as a whole (4.8/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Lily Lake?

Lily Lake has 7,348 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (83.7%), Hispanic / Latino (8.9%), Other / Multiracial (3.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lily Lake

1.9 Staples 3 tracts · pop 7,371 1.9 Hills of Spring Creek 2 tracts · pop 3,609

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Stillwater

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Lily Lake.

2 Schunenberg 1 tracts · pop 4,726 3 Greeley 1 tracts · pop 2,352

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