Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #60,063 of 84,120 nationally
Paulina Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Arnold
Tract 29099700208 · Jefferson County, MO · pop 8,144 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Eviction risk in Paulina Hills in Arnold centers on tract 29099700208, which scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 8,144 residents. On the national scale it ranks #62,655 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 31% of renter households, a high level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,121 a month while the average household earns $75,691 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 38% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.9
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units2,947
Renter share38.0%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate9.5%
Median income$75,691
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
32
th percentile
Low
National
29
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Arnold and the region
Centroid at 38.4742, -90.4467 · click any tract to drill in
Why Paulina Hills scores 2.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Arnold
2.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
9.5% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,121 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Arnold
2.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Arnold
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Arnold
5.0
How Paulina Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 73
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 66%Socioeconomic
- 57%Household composition
- 23%Racial/ethnic minority
- 90%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 945Total filings over 14 yrs
- 12.20%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.6%Peak (2010)
- 63Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Paulina Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.9%Housing insecurity
- 9.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.9%Food insecurity
- 11.5%SNAP enrollment
- 9.0%Transit barriers
- 9.9%No health insurance
- 19.1%Frequent mental distress
- 36.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Paulina Hills
The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Arnold eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Jefferson County average of 4.7 and in line with the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 945 eviction filings here over 14 tracked years, with about 12.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 13.6% of renter households in 2010.
In CDC survey modeling, about 12.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 29099700208
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29099700208?
Census tract 29099700208 in the Paulina Hills neighborhood scores 2.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29099700208?
Median gross rent is $1,121/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29099700208?
9.5% of residents in tract 29099700208 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,144.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29099700208?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 57th, minority 23th, housing 90th.
Q5
Is tract 29099700208 considered part of Paulina Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29099700208 fall within Paulina Hills (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29099700208?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 945 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 29099700208 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.20% of renter households, peaking at 13.6% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 29099700208 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 29099700208 compare to Arnold overall?
Tract 29099700208 scores 2.9/10, higher than the parent city of Arnold at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arnold eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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