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Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Cottleville Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 29183311114 · St. Charles County, MO · pop 5,496 · 26% of tract blocks fall in Cottleville

Census tract 29183311114 covers part of Cottleville, MO, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,496 residents. Against St. Charles County at 36.4%, 54% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 2% Owners 96%
Tract context
Occupied units1,868
Renter share4.4%
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate1.0%
Median income$124,569

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Cottleville
Moderate
Within county
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#57 of 85 tracts In St. Charles County
Low
Within state
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#1,113 of 1,654 tracts In Missouri
Low
National
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#67,219 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Cottleville and the region

Centroid at 38.7323, -90.6551 · click any tract to drill in

Why Cottleville scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Cottleville
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
1.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,028 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cottleville
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cottleville
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cottleville
4.9

How Cottleville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Cottleville risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 311114Cottleville: 3.43.4Cottlevilleparent cityCounty: 3.53.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 1

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 59Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 12.24%Avg annual filing rate
  • 26.8%Peak (2012)
  • 3Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2003 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 291833111142003: 3 filings (8.82/100 renter HHs)2004: 5 filings (14.71/100 renter HHs)2005: 3 filings (4.84/100 renter HHs)2008: 6 filings (9.68/100 renter HHs)2009: 3 filings (4.84/100 renter HHs)2010: 5 filings (9.80/100 renter HHs)2011: 9 filings (21.95/100 renter HHs)2012: 11 filings (26.83/100 renter HHs)2013: 8 filings (19.51/100 renter HHs)2015: 3 filings (7.32/100 renter HHs)2017: 3 filings (6.38/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Cottleville

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 66.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10.

At $2,028 a month, rents run 25% over what the rest of Cottleville commands. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.1/10.

Food insecurity runs 6.6% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 4.2% against 15.2% nationally.

Court records carry 59 eviction filings across 11 observed years. The worst year on record was 2012, when 26.8% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 12.2% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

At 4% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 29183311114

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29183311114?

Census tract 29183311114 in Cottleville scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 29183311114?

Median gross rent is $2,028/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 29183311114?

1.0% of residents in tract 29183311114 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,496.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 29183311114?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 12th, minority 20th, housing 2th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29183311114?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 59 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 29183311114 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.24% of renter households, peaking at 26.8% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 29183311114 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 29183311114 compare to Cottleville overall?

Tract 29183311114 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Cottleville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cottleville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Cottleville

Top eight tracts in Cottleville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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