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Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

O'Fallon Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 29183311124 · St. Charles County, MO · pop 7,292 · 47% of tract blocks fall in O'Fallon

Tract 29183311124 sits in O'Fallon, MO, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. The severe-burden share is 37%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 12% Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units2,556
Renter share21.0%
SVI overall0.19
Poverty rate1.7%
Median income$128,778

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
5 th percentile
Rank, 5th percentileLowHigh
#22 of 23 tracts In O'Fallon
Very Low
Within county
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#55 of 85 tracts In St. Charles County
Low
Within state
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#1,113 of 1,654 tracts In Missouri
Low
National
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#67,219 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across O'Fallon and the region

Centroid at 38.7356, -90.6807 · click any tract to drill in

Why O'Fallon scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from O'Fallon
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
1.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,735 rent vs county FMR
9.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from O'Fallon
4.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from O'Fallon
4.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from O'Fallon
3.6

How O'Fallon compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
O'Fallon risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 311124O'Fallon: 3.23.2O'Fallonparent cityCounty: 3.53.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 19

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 164Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 6.90%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.5%Peak (2008)
  • 12Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2003 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 291833111242003: 8 filings (16.21/100 renter HHs)2004: 10 filings (20.27/100 renter HHs)2005: 6 filings (1.88/100 renter HHs)2008: 24 filings (7.51/100 renter HHs)2009: 16 filings (5.00/100 renter HHs)2010: 16 filings (3.76/100 renter HHs)2011: 20 filings (5.01/100 renter HHs)2012: 23 filings (5.76/100 renter HHs)2013: 16 filings (4.01/100 renter HHs)2015: 13 filings (3.26/100 renter HHs)2017: 12 filings (3.17/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 50% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in O'Fallon

The voucher gap is 42.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 9.3/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10.

Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10. At $1,735 a month, rents run 20% over what the rest of O'Fallon commands. Food insecurity runs 6.7% against 17.8% nationally.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 164 filings here across 11 tracked years. 41% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the St. Charles County average of 36.4%.

Housing insecurity runs 6.8% against 14.2% nationally. Filings peaked in 2008 at 7.5% of renter households.

In a typical year about 6.9% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 21% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 29183311124

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29183311124?

Census tract 29183311124 in O'Fallon scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 29183311124?

Median gross rent is $1,735/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 29183311124?

1.7% of residents in tract 29183311124 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,292.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 29183311124?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 30th, minority 29th, housing 47th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29183311124?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 164 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 29183311124 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.90% of renter households, peaking at 7.5% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 29183311124 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 29183311124 compare to O'Fallon overall?

Tract 29183311124 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of O'Fallon at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from O'Fallon eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in O'Fallon

Top eight tracts in O'Fallon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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