Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally
Spanish Lake Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 29189210101 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 1,542 · 66% of tract blocks fall in Spanish Lake
Census tract 29189210101 covers part of Spanish Lake, MO, and scores 4.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. 63% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the St. Louis County average of 42.0%.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units444
Renter share22.3%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate5.7%
Median income$73,438
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
71
th percentile
Elevated
National
47
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Spanish Lake and the region
Centroid at 38.8035, -90.1577 · click any tract to drill in
Why Spanish Lake scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Spanish Lake
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
5.7% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,537 rent vs county FMR
7.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Spanish Lake
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Spanish Lake
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Spanish Lake
7.9
How Spanish Lake compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 50
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 62%Socioeconomic
- 43%Household composition
- 86%Racial/ethnic minority
- 20%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 131Total filings 2020-21
- 1.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.46×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.6%Housing insecurity
- 13.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 19.1%Food insecurity
- 16.4%SNAP enrollment
- 11.3%Transit barriers
- 8.1%No health insurance
- 17.3%Frequent mental distress
- 37.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Spanish Lake
What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10. Average gross rent is $1,537, 33% above the Spanish Lake average. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.4/10.
The voucher gap is 26.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.5/10. The severe-burden share is 8%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
That is riskier than roughly 47% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 22% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 5.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the St. Louis County average of 4.0 closely.
Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $73,438.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189210101
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189210101?
Census tract 29189210101 in Spanish Lake scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189210101?
Median gross rent is $1,537/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189210101?
5.7% of residents in tract 29189210101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,542.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189210101?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 43th, minority 86th, housing 20th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 29189210101 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.46× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q6
What share of households in tract 29189210101 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 29189210101 compare to Spanish Lake overall?
Tract 29189210101 scores 4.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Spanish Lake at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Spanish Lake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Spanish Lake
Top eight tracts in Spanish Lake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related