Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally
St. John Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 29189213500 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 5,365 · 88% of tract blocks fall in St. John
With a score of 4.3/10, tract 29189213500 in St. John, MO reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,365. Against St. Louis County at 42.0%, 64% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units2,300
Renter share40.6%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate11.1%
Median income$51,401
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
62
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
71
th percentile
Elevated
National
47
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. John and the region
Centroid at 38.7149, -90.3446 · click any tract to drill in
Why St. John scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. John
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
11.1% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,164 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. John
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. John
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. John
2.4
How St. John compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 70
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 88%Socioeconomic
- 58%Household composition
- 70%Racial/ethnic minority
- 30%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 40%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 385Total filings over 8 yrs
- 9.32%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.9%Peak (2012)
- 55Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 62% over the past 8 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 348Total filings 2020-21
- 4.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.01×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 21.8%Housing insecurity
- 16.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 25.4%Food insecurity
- 23.1%SNAP enrollment
- 14.3%Transit barriers
- 12.6%No health insurance
- 21.4%Frequent mental distress
- 43.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in St. John
32% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.5/10.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.1/10. The filing record is not thin: 385 evictions over 8 years of observation.
SNAP participation runs 23.1% against 15.2% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 21.8% against 14.2% nationally. Filings peaked in 2012 at 12.9% of renter households.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 9.3% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 47% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189213500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189213500?
Census tract 29189213500 in St. John scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189213500?
Median gross rent is $1,164/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189213500?
11.1% of residents in tract 29189213500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,365.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189213500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 58th, minority 70th, housing 30th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29189213500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 385 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 29189213500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.32% of renter households, peaking at 12.9% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 29189213500 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.01× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 29189213500 struggle to pay rent?
About 21.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 29189213500 compare to St. John overall?
Tract 29189213500 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of St. John at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. John; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 29189213500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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