Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Spanish Lake Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 29189210703 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 3,684
Census tract 29189210703 covers part of Spanish Lake, MO, and scores 4.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,684. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units1,399
Renter share44.7%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate6.6%
Median income$63,365
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
78
th percentile
High
National
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Spanish Lake and the region
Centroid at 38.8022, -90.2186 · click any tract to drill in
Why Spanish Lake scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Spanish Lake
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
6.6% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$940 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Spanish Lake
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Spanish Lake
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Spanish Lake
7.9
How Spanish Lake compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 83%Socioeconomic
- 73%Household composition
- 85%Racial/ethnic minority
- 40%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 933Total filings over 8 yrs
- 13.74%Avg annual filing rate
- 20.7%Peak (2010)
- 127Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 55% over the past 8 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 864Total filings 2020-21
- 11.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 9.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.13×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 24.1%Housing insecurity
- 18.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 26.8%Food insecurity
- 24.3%SNAP enrollment
- 14.8%Transit barriers
- 9.9%No health insurance
- 19.1%Frequent mental distress
- 42.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Spanish Lake
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.5/10. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Severe burden reaches 16%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
At $940 a month, rents run 19% under what the rest of Spanish Lake commands. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 18.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. SNAP participation runs 24.3% against 15.2% nationally.
Court records carry 933 eviction filings across 8 observed years. The worst year on record was 2010, when 20.7% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 13.7% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 53% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.8/10. Rent consumes only 18% of average household income of $63,365, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189210703
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189210703?
Census tract 29189210703 in Spanish Lake scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189210703?
Median gross rent is $940/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189210703?
6.6% of residents in tract 29189210703 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,684.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189210703?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 73th, minority 85th, housing 40th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29189210703?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 933 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 29189210703 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.74% of renter households, peaking at 20.7% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 29189210703 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.13× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 29189210703 struggle to pay rent?
About 24.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 29189210703 compare to Spanish Lake overall?
Tract 29189210703 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Spanish Lake at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Spanish Lake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Spanish Lake
Top eight tracts in Spanish Lake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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