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Census Tract · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally

Breckenridge Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 29189214700 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 8,305 · 43% of tract blocks fall in Breckenridge Hills

Eviction risk in Breckenridge Hills centers on tract 29189214700, which scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 8,305 residents. It lands near the 89th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

63% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,128 monthly, set against $55,446 in average yearly household income, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 36% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 14% Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units3,132
Renter share36.2%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate13.7%
Median income$55,446

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Breckenridge Hills
Moderate
Within county
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#38 of 236 tracts In St. Louis County
High
Within state
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#654 of 1,654 tracts In Missouri
Elevated
National
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#37,643 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Breckenridge Hills and the region

Centroid at 38.7128, -90.3773 · click any tract to drill in

Why Breckenridge Hills scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Breckenridge Hills
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
13.7% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,128 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Breckenridge Hills
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Breckenridge Hills
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Breckenridge Hills
9.2

How Breckenridge Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Breckenridge Hills risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.24.2This tracttract 214700Breckenridge Hills: 2.92.9Breckenridge Hillsparent cityCounty: 2.82.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 82

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 830Total filings over 8 yrs
  • 10.92%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.7%Peak (2012)
  • 65Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2003 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 291892147002003: 70 filings (8.36/100 renter HHs)2004: 98 filings (11.71/100 renter HHs)2005: 108 filings (13.43/100 renter HHs)2006: 131 filings (16.29/100 renter HHs)2010: 95 filings (9.92/100 renter HHs)2012: 135 filings (11.72/100 renter HHs)2013: 128 filings (11.11/100 renter HHs)2017: 65 filings (4.82/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 8 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 505Total filings 2020-21
  • 6.6Avg monthly (observed)
  • 9.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.70×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 12 filings (1.41× baseline)2020-02-01: 5 filings (0.48× baseline)2020-03-01: 1 filings (0.13× baseline)2020-04-01: 1 filings (0.15× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 3 filings (0.29× baseline)2020-07-01: 6 filings (0.48× baseline)2020-08-01: 7 filings (0.88× baseline)2020-09-01: 5 filings (0.38× baseline)2020-10-01: 5 filings (0.59× baseline)2020-11-01: 2 filings (0.16× baseline)2020-12-01: 4 filings (0.38× baseline)2021-01-01: 1 filings (0.12× baseline)2021-02-01: 2 filings (0.19× baseline)2021-03-01: 3 filings (0.40× baseline)2021-04-01: 3 filings (0.46× baseline)2021-05-01: 4 filings (0.35× baseline)2021-06-01: 9 filings (0.86× baseline)2021-07-01: 4 filings (0.32× baseline)2021-08-01: 2 filings (0.25× baseline)2021-09-01: 5 filings (0.38× baseline)2021-10-01: 10 filings (1.18× baseline)2021-11-01: 2 filings (0.16× baseline)2021-12-01: 7 filings (0.67× baseline)2022-01-01: 22 filings (2.59× baseline)2022-02-01: 5 filings (0.48× baseline)2022-03-01: 8 filings (1.07× baseline)2022-04-01: 6 filings (0.92× baseline)2022-05-01: 9 filings (0.78× baseline)2022-06-01: 10 filings (0.95× baseline)2022-07-01: 8 filings (0.64× baseline)2022-08-01: 11 filings (1.38× baseline)2022-09-01: 4 filings (0.31× baseline)2022-10-01: 11 filings (1.29× baseline)2022-11-01: 11 filings (0.88× baseline)2022-12-01: 6 filings (0.57× baseline)2023-01-01: 14 filings (1.65× baseline)2023-02-01: 9 filings (0.86× baseline)2023-03-01: 8 filings (1.07× baseline)2023-04-01: 5 filings (0.77× baseline)2023-05-01: 9 filings (0.78× baseline)2023-06-01: 10 filings (0.95× baseline)2023-07-01: 7 filings (0.56× baseline)2023-08-01: 11 filings (1.38× baseline)2023-09-01: 9 filings (0.69× baseline)2023-10-01: 12 filings (1.41× baseline)2023-11-01: 11 filings (0.88× baseline)2023-12-01: 5 filings (0.48× baseline)2024-01-01: 11 filings (1.29× baseline)2024-02-01: 4 filings (0.38× baseline)2024-03-01: 5 filings (0.67× baseline)2024-04-01: 6 filings (0.92× baseline)2024-05-01: 5 filings (0.43× baseline)2024-06-01: 6 filings (0.57× baseline)2024-07-01: 9 filings (0.72× baseline)2024-08-01: 8 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 9 filings (0.69× baseline)2024-10-01: 7 filings (0.82× baseline)2024-11-01: 10 filings (0.80× baseline)2024-12-01: 7 filings (0.67× baseline)2025-01-01: 13 filings (1.53× baseline)2025-02-01: 2 filings (0.19× baseline)2025-03-01: 8 filings (1.07× baseline)2025-04-01: 6 filings (0.92× baseline)2025-05-01: 9 filings (0.78× baseline)2025-06-01: 6 filings (0.57× baseline)2025-07-01: 5 filings (0.40× baseline)2025-08-01: 4 filings (0.50× baseline)2025-09-01: 12 filings (0.92× baseline)2025-10-01: 3 filings (0.35× baseline)2025-11-01: 2 filings (0.16× baseline)2025-12-01: 3 filings (0.29× baseline)2026-01-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 6 filings (60.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Breckenridge Hills

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 9.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Breckenridge Hills, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the St. Louis County average of 5.6 and above the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 82nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.70x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 29189214700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189214700?

Census tract 29189214700 in Breckenridge Hills scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 29189214700?

Median gross rent is $1,128/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 29189214700?

13.7% of residents in tract 29189214700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,305.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 29189214700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 68th, minority 70th, housing 54th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29189214700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 830 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 29189214700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.92% of renter households, peaking at 11.7% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 29189214700 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.70× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7

What share of households in tract 29189214700 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 29189214700 compare to Breckenridge Hills overall?

Tract 29189214700 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Breckenridge Hills at 2.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Breckenridge Hills; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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