Within neighborhood
75
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally
Varsity neighborhood Eviction Risk: Moderate , University City
Tract 29189215902 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 3,267 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Here is how census tract 29189215902, in Varsity neighborhood in University City eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 4.6/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 3,267. It lands near the 25th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
13% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 3% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,065 monthly, set against $54,936 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,457
Renter share29.3%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate19.2%
Median income$54,936
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Within county
82
th percentile
High
Within state
61
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across University City and the region
Centroid at 38.6689, -90.3173 · click any tract to drill in
Why Varsity neighborhood scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from University City
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
19.2% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$1,065 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from University City
1.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from University City
2.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from University City
2.1
How Varsity neighborhood compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 61
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 62%Socioeconomic
- 67%Household composition
- 80%Racial/ethnic minority
- 34%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 6%Grade A
- 71%Grade B
- 4%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 208Total filings 2020-21
- 2.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.91×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Varsity neighborhood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.4%Housing insecurity
- 15.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.8%Food insecurity
- 18.1%SNAP enrollment
- 12.0%Transit barriers
- 8.3%No health insurance
- 17.0%Frequent mental distress
- 38.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Varsity neighborhood
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 4.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from University City eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the St. Louis County average of 5.6 and in line with the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.91x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189215902
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189215902?
Census tract 29189215902 in the Varsity neighborhood neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189215902?
Median gross rent is $1,065/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 13% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189215902?
19.2% of residents in tract 29189215902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,267.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189215902?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 67th, minority 80th, housing 34th.
Q5
Is tract 29189215902 considered part of Varsity neighborhood?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29189215902 fall within Varsity neighborhood (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 29189215902 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.91× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 29189215902 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 29189215902 compare to University City overall?
Tract 29189215902 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of University City at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from University City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 29189215902 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in University City
Top eight tracts in University City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MO
Varsity neighborhood
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
Skinker DeBaliviere
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
Varsity neighborhood
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MO
29189215700
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MO
29189215802
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MO
Varsity neighborhood
2.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MO
29189215803
2.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MO
Varsity neighborhood
2.3
/ 10 · Low
Related
Explore the geography around tract 29189215902
Parent city ↑
University City
2.7 / 10
Parent county ↑
St. Louis County
Parent state ↑
Missouri
Sibling tract →
Varsity neighborhood
3.8 / 10
Sibling tract →
Varsity neighborhood
5.2 / 10
Sibling tract →
Varsity neighborhood
5.3 / 10
Methodology
How the score is built
Interactive map
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