Within neighborhood
25
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally
Berdell Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Normandy
Tract 29189213701 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 1,024 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
For landlords sizing up the Berdell Hills area of Normandy, census tract 29189213701 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.9/10. That is riskier than about 71% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 90% of renter households, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $727 monthly, set against $34,464 in average yearly household income, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 59% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 53%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units427
Renter share58.8%
SVI overall0.35
Poverty rate16.6%
Median income$34,464
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
83
th percentile
High
Within state
61
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Normandy and the region
Centroid at 38.7143, -90.3110 · click any tract to drill in
Why Berdell Hills scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Normandy
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
16.6% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$727 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Normandy
3.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Normandy
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Normandy
6.2
How Berdell Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 35
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 62%Socioeconomic
- 1%Household composition
- 84%Racial/ethnic minority
- 46%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 2%Grade A
- 57%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 167Total filings 2020-21
- 2.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.59×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Berdell Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.9%Housing insecurity
- 13.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 19.9%Food insecurity
- 15.2%SNAP enrollment
- 13.2%Transit barriers
- 8.1%No health insurance
- 20.4%Frequent mental distress
- 35.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Berdell Hills
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Normandy, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the St. Louis County average of 5.6 and above the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 35th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.59x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189213701
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189213701?
Census tract 29189213701 in the Berdell Hills neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189213701?
Median gross rent is $727/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 90% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189213701?
16.6% of residents in tract 29189213701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,024.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189213701?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 1th, minority 84th, housing 46th.
Q5
Is tract 29189213701 considered part of Berdell Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29189213701 fall within Berdell Hills (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 29189213701 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.59× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 29189213701 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 29189213701 compare to Normandy overall?
Tract 29189213701 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Normandy at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Normandy; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 29189213701 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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