Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Ellendale Eviction Risk: Lower , St. Louis
Tract 29510103400 · St. Louis city, MO · pop 1,856 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
29510103400 is a census tract in the Ellendale area of St. Louis, MO. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,856. about a quarter of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the St. Louis City average of 41.6%.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units960
Renter share19.3%
SVI overall0.12
Poverty rate6.5%
Median income$74,375
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
10
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
4
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
33
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Louis and the region
Centroid at 38.6077, -90.3016 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ellendale scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Louis
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
6.5% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,109 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Louis
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Louis
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Louis
5.0
How Ellendale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 12
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 27%Socioeconomic
- 11%Household composition
- 21%Racial/ethnic minority
- 15%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 100%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 116Total filings over 13 yrs
- 5.20%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.1%Peak (2008)
- 8Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 33% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 17Total filings 2020-21
- 0.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.35×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Ellendale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.7%Housing insecurity
- 6.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.7%Food insecurity
- 6.2%SNAP enrollment
- 6.2%Transit barriers
- 6.1%No health insurance
- 16.8%Frequent mental distress
- 27.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ellendale
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.6/10. On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.3/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.1/10. It sits 1.4 points below the St. Louis City average of 4.4.
Severe burden reaches 14%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Food insecurity runs 8.7% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 6.2% against 15.2% nationally.
Court records carry 116 eviction filings across 13 observed years. At $1,109 a month, rents run 11% over what the rest of St. Louis commands. Filings peaked in 2008 at 12.1% of renter households.
This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Louis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 5.2% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 29510103400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29510103400?
Census tract 29510103400 in the Ellendale neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29510103400?
Median gross rent is $1,109/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29510103400?
6.5% of residents in tract 29510103400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,856.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29510103400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 11th, minority 21th, housing 15th.
Q5
Is tract 29510103400 considered part of Ellendale?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29510103400 fall within Ellendale (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29510103400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 116 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 29510103400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.20% of renter households, peaking at 12.1% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 29510103400 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.35× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 29510103400 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 29510103400 compare to St. Louis overall?
Tract 29510103400 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of St. Louis at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 29510103400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis
Top eight tracts in St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MO
Carr Square
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
West End
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Gravois Park
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Baden
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Patch
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
College Hill
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
JeffVanderLou
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Midtown
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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