Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #48,083 of 84,120 nationally
Ellendale Eviction Risk: Lower , St. Louis
Tract 29510103400 · St. Louis city, MO · pop 1,856 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
The Ellendale neighborhood of St. Louis anchors census tract 29510103400, which lands at $1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 38th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 24% of renter households, a moderate level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,109 a month against an average household income of $74,375 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 19% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units960
Renter share19.3%
SVI overall0.12
Poverty rate6.5%
Median income$74,375
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
13
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
13
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
46
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Louis and the region
Centroid at 38.6077, -90.3016 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ellendale scores 3.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Louis
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
6.5% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,109 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Louis
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Louis
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Louis
5.0
How Ellendale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 12
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 27%Socioeconomic
- 11%Household composition
- 21%Racial/ethnic minority
- 15%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 100%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 116Total filings over 13 yrs
- 5.20%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.1%Peak (2008)
- 8Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 33% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 17Total filings 2020-21
- 0.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.35×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Ellendale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.7%Housing insecurity
- 6.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.7%Food insecurity
- 6.2%SNAP enrollment
- 6.2%Transit barriers
- 6.1%No health insurance
- 16.8%Frequent mental distress
- 27.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ellendale
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 5.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the St. Louis City County average of 5.8 and in line with the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 116 eviction filings here over 13 tracked years, with about 5.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 12.1% of renter households in 2008.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 29510103400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29510103400?
Census tract 29510103400 in the Ellendale neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29510103400?
Median gross rent is $1,109/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29510103400?
6.5% of residents in tract 29510103400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,856.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29510103400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 11th, minority 21th, housing 15th.
Q5
Is tract 29510103400 considered part of Ellendale?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29510103400 fall within Ellendale (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29510103400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 116 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 29510103400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.20% of renter households, peaking at 12.1% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 29510103400 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.35× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 29510103400 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 29510103400 compare to St. Louis overall?
Tract 29510103400 scores 3.6/10, higher than the parent city of St. Louis at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 29510103400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis
Top eight tracts in St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MO
Midtown
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Old North Saint Louis
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Mount Pleasant
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
College Hill
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
JeffVanderLou
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Wells Goodfellow
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Columbus Square
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Covenant Blu Grand Center
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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