Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Ellendale Eviction Risk: Lower , St. Louis

Tract 29510126800 · St. Louis city, MO · pop 3,209 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Census tract 29510126800 covers part of the Ellendale area of St. Louis, MO, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,209 residents. Cost burden runs 28% here against 41.6% across St. Louis City.

Risk score

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 29% Owners 60%

Tract context

Occupied units1,571

Renter share40.5%

SVI overall0.17

Poverty rate4.2%

Median income$77,880

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across St. Louis and the region

Centroid at 38.6145, -90.3069 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ellendale scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from St. Louis

7.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.3

State political climate

Missouri legislature & governorship

2.1

Economic stress

4.2% poverty · this tract

1.1

Supply constraint

$1,157 rent vs county FMR

4.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from St. Louis

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from St. Louis

5.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from St. Louis

5.0

How Ellendale compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 17

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

36%Socioeconomic
10%Household composition
42%Racial/ethnic minority
15%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
27%Grade B
48%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

344Total filings over 13 yrs
5.12%Avg annual filing rate
11.7%Peak (2007)
11Filings in 2017 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2004 to 2017

Filings dropped 54% over the past 13 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

77Total filings 2020-21
1.0Avg monthly (observed)
1.4Pre-pandemic baseline
0.70×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Ellendale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

9.5%Housing insecurity
6.9%Utility-shutoff threat
8.4%Food insecurity
5.8%SNAP enrollment
6.1%Transit barriers
5.7%No health insurance
16.3%Frequent mental distress
25.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ellendale

The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.1/10. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.3/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.1/10.

Against the St. Louis City average of 4.4, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.4 points. Food insecurity runs 8.4% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 5.8% against 15.2% nationally.

The severe-burden share is 10%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Average gross rent is $1,157, 16% above the St. Louis average.

The filing record is not thin: 344 evictions over 13 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2007 at 11.7% of renter households.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 5.1% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 29510126800

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29510126800?

Census tract 29510126800 in the Ellendale neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 29510126800?

Median gross rent is $1,157/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 29510126800?

4.2% of residents in tract 29510126800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,209.

How socially vulnerable is tract 29510126800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 10th, minority 42th, housing 15th.

Is tract 29510126800 considered part of Ellendale?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29510126800 fall within Ellendale (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29510126800?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 344 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 29510126800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.12% of renter households, peaking at 11.7% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Did eviction filings in tract 29510126800 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.70× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.

What share of households in tract 29510126800 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 29510126800 compare to St. Louis overall?

Tract 29510126800 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of St. Louis at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q10

Was tract 29510126800 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis

Top eight tracts in St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org