Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Bevo Mill Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Louis
Tract 29510115100 · St. Louis city, MO · pop 3,966 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 29510115100 covers part of the Bevo Mill area of St. Louis, MO, and scores 5.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,966. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1.1/10.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units1,810
Renter share43.2%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate24.4%
Median income$46,881
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
62
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
62
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
87
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Louis and the region
Centroid at 38.5854, -90.2712 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bevo Mill scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Louis
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
24.4% poverty · this tract
6.1
Supply constraint
$742 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Louis
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Louis
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Louis
5.0
How Bevo Mill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 50%Socioeconomic
- 98%Household composition
- 57%Racial/ethnic minority
- 75%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 74%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 695Total filings over 13 yrs
- 7.39%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.4%Peak (2008)
- 46Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 207% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 150Total filings 2020-21
- 2.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.48×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 20.6%Housing insecurity
- 16.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 24.5%Food insecurity
- 22.0%SNAP enrollment
- 13.8%Transit barriers
- 13.0%No health insurance
- 20.3%Frequent mental distress
- 42.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bevo Mill
Severe burden reaches 25%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.3/10. At $742 a month, rents run 26% under what the rest of St. Louis commands.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.1/10. The poverty rate is 24%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Court records carry 695 eviction filings across 13 observed years.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 16.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Against the St. Louis City average of 4.4, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points.
The worst year on record was 2008, when 11.4% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 7.4% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 29510115100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29510115100?
Census tract 29510115100 in the Bevo Mill neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29510115100?
Median gross rent is $742/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29510115100?
24.4% of residents in tract 29510115100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,966.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29510115100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 98th, minority 57th, housing 75th.
Q5
Is tract 29510115100 considered part of Bevo Mill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29510115100 fall within Bevo Mill (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29510115100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 695 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 29510115100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.39% of renter households, peaking at 11.4% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 29510115100 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.48× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 29510115100 struggle to pay rent?
About 20.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 29510115100 compare to St. Louis overall?
Tract 29510115100 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of St. Louis at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 29510115100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis
Top eight tracts in St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MO
Old North Saint Louis
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Academy
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Covenant Blu Grand Center
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Vandeventer
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Mount Pleasant
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Walnut Park East
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
North Riverfront
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Saint Louis Place
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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