Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally
Dutchtown Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Louis
Tract 29510116302 · St. Louis city, MO · pop 2,392 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
29510116302 is a census tract in the Dutchtown area of St. Louis, MO. It scores 5.3/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,392. 66% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the St. Louis City average of 41.6%.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 52%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 21%
Tract context
Occupied units1,229
Renter share79.5%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate24.6%
Median income$38,906
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
89
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Louis and the region
Centroid at 38.5899, -90.2480 · click any tract to drill in
Why Dutchtown scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Louis
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
24.6% poverty · this tract
6.2
Supply constraint
$889 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Louis
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Louis
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Louis
5.0
How Dutchtown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 81
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 97%Socioeconomic
- 80%Household composition
- 78%Racial/ethnic minority
- 25%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 99%Grade B
- 1%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,031Total filings over 13 yrs
- 8.40%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.8%Peak (2007)
- 88Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 47% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 433Total filings 2020-21
- 5.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 5.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Dutchtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 30.0%Housing insecurity
- 23.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 37.0%Food insecurity
- 33.4%SNAP enrollment
- 20.0%Transit barriers
- 16.8%No health insurance
- 21.7%Frequent mental distress
- 43.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Dutchtown
This is renter territory: 80% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Severe burden reaches 24%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
The dominant input is regional political climate at 8.3/10. Housing insecurity runs 30.0% against 14.2% nationally. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.1/10.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 23.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. The filing record is not thin: 1,031 evictions over 13 years of observation. It sits 0.9 points above the St. Louis City average of 4.4.
Average gross rent is $889, 11% below the St. Louis average. The worst year on record was 2007, when 11.8% of renter households were served.
This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Louis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 29510116302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29510116302?
Census tract 29510116302 in the Dutchtown neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29510116302?
Median gross rent is $889/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29510116302?
24.6% of residents in tract 29510116302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,392.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29510116302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 80th, minority 78th, housing 25th.
Q5
Is tract 29510116302 considered part of Dutchtown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29510116302 fall within Dutchtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29510116302?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,031 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 29510116302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.40% of renter households, peaking at 11.8% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 29510116302 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 29510116302 struggle to pay rent?
About 30.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 23.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 29510116302 compare to St. Louis overall?
Tract 29510116302 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of St. Louis at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 29510116302 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis
Top eight tracts in St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MO
Mark Twain
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Peabody-Darst-Webbe
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Gravois Park
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Baden
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Carr Square
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Patch
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
West End
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Baden
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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