Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally
JeffVanderLou Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Louis
Tract 29510127700 · St. Louis city, MO · pop 2,166 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 29510127700 covers part of the JeffVanderLou area of St. Louis, MO, and scores 5.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,166. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units862
Renter share57.3%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate50.5%
Median income$21,972
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
83
th percentile
High
Within county
80
th percentile
High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Louis and the region
Centroid at 38.6529, -90.2287 · click any tract to drill in
Why JeffVanderLou scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Louis
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
50.5% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$842 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Louis
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Louis
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Louis
5.0
How JeffVanderLou compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 84
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 98%Socioeconomic
- 81%Household composition
- 95%Racial/ethnic minority
- 24%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 56%Grade C
- 44%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 163Total filings 2020-21
- 2.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.48×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within JeffVanderLou. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 49.8%Housing insecurity
- 47.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 63.4%Food insecurity
- 69.6%SNAP enrollment
- 36.7%Transit barriers
- 19.9%No health insurance
- 26.7%Frequent mental distress
- 59.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in JeffVanderLou
Disability prevalence runs 59.5% against 31.5% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 47.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
The poverty rate is 50%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Annualized rent equals 46% of average household income of $21,972, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.3/10. about half of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the St. Louis City average of 41.6%.
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.9/10. It sits 1.2 points above the St. Louis City average of 4.4. At $842 a month, rents run 16% under what the rest of St. Louis commands.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Louis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #22,681 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 29510127700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29510127700?
Census tract 29510127700 in the JeffVanderLou neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29510127700?
Median gross rent is $842/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29510127700?
50.5% of residents in tract 29510127700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,166.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29510127700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 81th, minority 95th, housing 24th.
Q5
Is tract 29510127700 considered part of JeffVanderLou?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29510127700 fall within JeffVanderLou (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 29510127700 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.48× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 29510127700 struggle to pay rent?
About 49.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 47.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 29510127700 compare to St. Louis overall?
Tract 29510127700 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of St. Louis at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 29510127700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 44% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis
Top eight tracts in St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MO
Patch
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
West End
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Gravois Park
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Carr Square
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Baden
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
College Hill
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Midtown
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Wells Goodfellow
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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