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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Hillcrest Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bozeman

Tract 30031001002 · Gallatin County, MT · pop 5,050 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

With a score of 4.8/10, tract 30031001002 in the Hillcrest area of Bozeman, MT reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. 30% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 28% Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units2,302
Renter share46.4%
SVI overall0.24
Poverty rate9.8%
Median income$77,623

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Hillcrest
Moderate
Within parent city
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 14 tracts In Bozeman
Moderate
Within county
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 26 tracts In Gallatin County
Elevated
Within state
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#40 of 319 tracts In Montana
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bozeman and the region

Centroid at 45.6674, -111.0062 · click any tract to drill in

Why Hillcrest scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bozeman
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Montana legislature & governorship
1.7
Economic stress
9.8% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,551 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bozeman
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bozeman
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bozeman
4.5

How Hillcrest compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Hillcrest risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 0010024.5Bozemanparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county3.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 24

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 0.19%Avg annual filing rate
  • 0.2%Peak (2001)
  • 1Filings in 2001 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2002
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 30031001002
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Hillcrest

Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.7/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.4/10. SNAP participation runs 4.5% against 15.2% nationally.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.4/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1 filings here across 1 tracked years.

Housing insecurity runs 5.8% against 14.2% nationally. At $1,551 a month, rents run 10% under what the rest of Bozeman commands. Filings peaked in 2001 at 0.2% of renter households.

In a typical year about 0.2% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #35,669 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the MT average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 30031001002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 30031001002?

Census tract 30031001002 in the Hillcrest neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 30031001002?

Median gross rent is $1,551/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 30031001002?

9.8% of residents in tract 30031001002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,050.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 30031001002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 24th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 18th, minority 20th, housing 37th.
Q5

Is tract 30031001002 considered part of Hillcrest?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 30031001002 fall within Hillcrest (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 30031001002?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 30031001002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.19% of renter households, peaking at 0.2% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 30031001002 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 30031001002 compare to Bozeman overall?

Tract 30031001002 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Bozeman at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bozeman eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bozeman

Top eight tracts in Bozeman ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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