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Neighborhood · Ranked #434 of 84,120 nationally

University Heights Eviction Risk: High , Newark

Tract 34013003800 · Essex County, NJ · pop 2,030 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 34013003800 (the University Heights area of Newark, New Jersey) comes in at 8.5/10, the High tier. That ranks it in the top 1% of US census tracts for landlord eviction risk, among the very hardest places in the country to operate.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 73% of renter households, a severe level, and 47% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,197 a month while the average household earns $35,959 a year, roughly 40% of income at the averages. About 66% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
9
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 49% Stable renters 18% Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units728
Renter share66.5%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate38.9%
Median income$35,959

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#9 of 31 tracts In University Heights
Elevated
Within parent city
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#27 of 88 tracts In Newark
Elevated
Within county
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#25 of 211 tracts In Essex County
High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#52 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Newark and the region

Centroid at 40.7308, -74.1998 · click any tract to drill in

Why University Heights scores 9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Newark
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
38.9% poverty · this tract
9.7
Supply constraint
$1,197 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newark
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newark
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newark
8.0

How University Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
University Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 9.09.0This tracttract 003800Newark: 9.09.0Newarkparent cityCounty: 5.85.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 867Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 42.46%Avg annual filing rate
  • 55.6%Peak (2018)
  • 173Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 340130038002013: 123 filings (32.89/100 renter HHs)2014: 164 filings (43.85/100 renter HHs)2015: 157 filings (41.98/100 renter HHs)2016: 119 filings (38.26/100 renter HHs)2017: 131 filings (42.12/100 renter HHs)2018: 173 filings (55.63/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 41% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within University Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in University Heights

What moves this score most is economic stress at 9.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Newark eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Essex County average of 7.3 and above the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 100% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 99th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord underwriting a deal here, treat timelines and legal costs as the real risk: Newark eviction risk sits in territory where contested cases drag and tenant defenses are well organized, so airtight notices and screening matter more than usual.

Frequently asked

About tract 34013003800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34013003800?

Census tract 34013003800 in the University Heights neighborhood scores 9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34013003800?

Median gross rent is $1,197/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34013003800?

38.9% of residents in tract 34013003800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,030.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34013003800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 80th, minority 99th, housing 98th.
Q5

Is tract 34013003800 considered part of University Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34013003800 fall within University Heights (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34013003800?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 867 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34013003800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 42.46% of renter households, peaking at 55.6% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34013003800 struggle to pay rent?

About 38.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 27.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34013003800 compare to Newark overall?

Tract 34013003800 scores 9/10, right in line with the parent city of Newark at 9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newark eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 34013003800 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Newark

Top eight tracts in Newark ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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