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Census Tract · Ranked #2,663 of 84,120 nationally

Newark Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 34013004500 · Essex County, NJ · pop 3,310

Here is how census tract 34013004500, in Newark eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 7.1/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 3,310. It lands near the 96th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 27% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 7% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,197 monthly, set against $59,647 in average yearly household income, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 79% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
7.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 58% Owners 21%
Tract context
Occupied units1,327
Renter share78.9%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate15.7%
Median income$59,647

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#71 of 88 tracts In Newark
Very Low
Within county
62 th percentile
Rank, 62nd percentileLowHigh
#81 of 211 tracts In Essex County
Elevated
Within state
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#257 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
High
National
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#2,663 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Newark and the region

Centroid at 40.7109, -74.2230 · click any tract to drill in

Why Newark scores 7.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Newark
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
15.7% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,197 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newark
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newark
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newark
8.0

How Newark compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Newark risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.77.7This tracttract 004500Newark: 9.09.0Newarkparent cityCounty: 5.85.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,724Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 34.80%Avg annual filing rate
  • 40.6%Peak (2018)
  • 353Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 340130045002013: 236 filings (30.53/100 renter HHs)2014: 254 filings (32.86/100 renter HHs)2015: 249 filings (32.21/100 renter HHs)2016: 297 filings (34.14/100 renter HHs)2017: 335 filings (38.51/100 renter HHs)2018: 353 filings (40.57/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 50% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Newark

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Newark eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Essex County average of 7.3 and above the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 85th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 1,724 eviction filings here over 6 tracked years, with about 34.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 40.6% of renter households in 2018.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 34013004500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34013004500?

Census tract 34013004500 in Newark scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34013004500?

Median gross rent is $1,197/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34013004500?

15.7% of residents in tract 34013004500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,310.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34013004500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 58th, minority 99th, housing 80th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34013004500?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 1,724 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34013004500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 34.80% of renter households, peaking at 40.6% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 34013004500 struggle to pay rent?

About 29.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 34013004500 compare to Newark overall?

Tract 34013004500 scores 7.7/10, lower than the parent city of Newark at 9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newark eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 34013004500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Newark

Top eight tracts in Newark ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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