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Census Tract · Ranked #68 of 84,120 nationally

Newark Eviction Risk: High

Tract 34013005400 · Essex County, NJ · pop 4,349

Census tract 34013005400 belongs to Newark, New Jersey. It is home to 4,349 residents and scores 8.6/10, a high reading for landlords. That ranks it in the top 1% of US census tracts for landlord eviction risk, among the very hardest places in the country to operate.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 68% of renter households, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $785 a month while the average household earns $18,326 a year, roughly 51% of income at the averages. Renters make up 93% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
9.4
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 63% Stable renters 29% Owners 8%
Tract context
Occupied units1,683
Renter share92.6%
SVI overall1.00
Poverty rate58.0%
Median income$18,326

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 88 tracts In Newark
Very High
Within county
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 211 tracts In Essex County
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Very High
National
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#68 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Newark and the region

Centroid at 40.7201, -74.2032 · click any tract to drill in

Why Newark scores 9.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Newark
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
58.0% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$785 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newark
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newark
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newark
8.0

How Newark compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Newark risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 9.49.4This tracttract 005400Newark: 9.09.0Newarkparent cityCounty: 5.85.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 100

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 3,905Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 59.57%Avg annual filing rate
  • 54.4%Peak (2017)
  • 663Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 340130054002013: 685 filings (71.88/100 renter HHs)2014: 651 filings (68.31/100 renter HHs)2015: 633 filings (66.42/100 renter HHs)2016: 574 filings (44.70/100 renter HHs)2017: 699 filings (54.44/100 renter HHs)2018: 663 filings (51.64/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Newark

The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Newark eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Essex County average of 7.3 and above the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Black and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 100th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Part of this tract, about 33% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

For a landlord underwriting a deal here, treat timelines and legal costs as the real risk: Newark eviction risk sits in territory where contested cases drag and tenant defenses are well organized, so airtight notices and screening matter more than usual.

Frequently asked

About tract 34013005400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34013005400?

Census tract 34013005400 in Newark scores 9.4/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34013005400?

Median gross rent is $785/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34013005400?

58.0% of residents in tract 34013005400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,349.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34013005400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 99th, minority 99th, housing 87th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34013005400?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 3,905 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34013005400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 59.57% of renter households, peaking at 54.4% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 34013005400 struggle to pay rent?

About 47.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 38.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 34013005400 compare to Newark overall?

Tract 34013005400 scores 9.4/10, higher than the parent city of Newark at 9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newark eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 34013005400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 33% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Newark

Top eight tracts in Newark ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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