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Census Tract · Ranked #550 of 84,120 nationally

Newark Eviction Risk: High

Tract 34013005200 · Essex County, NJ · pop 1,810

Here is how census tract 34013005200, in Newark eviction risk in Essex County, looks to a landlord: a 8.5/10 eviction-risk score (High tier) across a population of 1,810. That ranks it in the top 1% of US census tracts for landlord eviction risk, among the very hardest places in the country to operate.

75% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 51% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,787 a month while the average household earns $41,667 a year, roughly 51% of income at the averages. Renters make up 61% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
8.9
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 46% Stable renters 15% Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units642
Renter share61.4%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate33.4%
Median income$41,667

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#31 of 88 tracts In Newark
Elevated
Within county
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#31 of 211 tracts In Essex County
High
Within state
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#67 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Very High
National
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#550 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Newark and the region

Centroid at 40.7192, -74.2132 · click any tract to drill in

Why Newark scores 8.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Newark
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
33.4% poverty · this tract
8.3
Supply constraint
$1,787 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newark
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newark
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newark
8.0

How Newark compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Newark risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.98.9This tracttract 005200Newark: 9.09.0Newarkparent cityCounty: 5.85.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 369Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 21.93%Avg annual filing rate
  • 25.0%Peak (2013)
  • 63Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 340130052002013: 66 filings (25.00/100 renter HHs)2014: 64 filings (24.24/100 renter HHs)2015: 59 filings (22.35/100 renter HHs)2016: 58 filings (19.33/100 renter HHs)2017: 59 filings (19.67/100 renter HHs)2018: 63 filings (21.00/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Newark

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Newark eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Essex County average of 7.3 and above the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 88th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord underwriting a deal here, treat timelines and legal costs as the real risk: Newark eviction risk sits in territory where contested cases drag and tenant defenses are well organized, so airtight notices and screening matter more than usual.

Frequently asked

About tract 34013005200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34013005200?

Census tract 34013005200 in Newark scores 8.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34013005200?

Median gross rent is $1,787/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34013005200?

33.4% of residents in tract 34013005200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,810.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34013005200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 89th, minority 100th, housing 42th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34013005200?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 369 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34013005200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 21.93% of renter households, peaking at 25.0% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 34013005200 struggle to pay rent?

About 32.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 34013005200 compare to Newark overall?

Tract 34013005200 scores 8.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Newark at 9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newark eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 34013005200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Newark

Top eight tracts in Newark ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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