Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #2,438 of 84,120 nationally
East Ferry Eviction Risk: Elevated , Newark
Tract 34013007100 · Essex County, NJ · pop 4,258 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Census tract 34013007100 belongs to the East Ferry area of Newark, New Jersey. It is home to 4,258 residents and scores 7.9/10, an elevated reading for landlords. That ranks it in the top 1% of US census tracts for landlord eviction risk, among the very hardest places in the country to operate.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 59% of renter households, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,738 a month while the average household earns $54,603 a year, roughly 38% of income at the averages. Renters make up 78% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
7.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 46%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 22%
Tract context
Occupied units1,473
Renter share78.5%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate15.5%
Median income$54,603
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
23
th percentile
Low
Within county
66
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
90
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Newark and the region
Centroid at 40.7205, -74.1565 · click any tract to drill in
Why East Ferry scores 7.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Newark
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
15.5% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,738 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newark
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newark
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newark
8.0
How East Ferry compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 91
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 97%Socioeconomic
- 86%Household composition
- 78%Racial/ethnic minority
- 62%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 54%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 154Total filings over 6 yrs
- 2.96%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.6%Peak (2014)
- 24Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within East Ferry. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 21.1%Housing insecurity
- 11.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 25.1%Food insecurity
- 15.7%SNAP enrollment
- 12.9%Transit barriers
- 21.7%No health insurance
- 20.2%Frequent mental distress
- 30.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in East Ferry
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Newark eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Essex County average of 7.3 and above the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 154 eviction filings here over 6 tracked years, with about 3.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.6% of renter households in 2014.
In CDC survey modeling, about 21.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 34013007100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34013007100?
Census tract 34013007100 in the East Ferry neighborhood scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34013007100?
Median gross rent is $1,738/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34013007100?
15.5% of residents in tract 34013007100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,258.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34013007100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 86th, minority 78th, housing 62th.
Q5
Is tract 34013007100 considered part of East Ferry?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34013007100 fall within East Ferry (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34013007100?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 154 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34013007100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.96% of renter households, peaking at 3.6% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34013007100 struggle to pay rent?
About 21.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34013007100 compare to Newark overall?
Tract 34013007100 scores 7.8/10, lower than the parent city of Newark at 9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newark eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 34013007100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 54% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Newark
Top eight tracts in Newark ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
34013004802
9.4
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34013009400
9.4
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34013005400
9.4
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
Teachers Village
9.4
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
University Heights
9.4
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34013009200
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34013009600
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34013000300
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
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