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Neighborhood · Ranked #3,082 of 84,120 nationally

East Ferry Eviction Risk: High , Newark

Tract 34013007100 · Essex County, NJ · pop 4,258 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

With a score of 9.3/10, tract 34013007100 in the East Ferry area of Newark, NJ reads high for landlord eviction risk. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.7/10.

Risk score
9.3
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 46% Stable renters 32% Owners 22%
Tract context
Occupied units1,473
Renter share78.5%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate15.5%
Median income$54,603

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 7 tracts In East Ferry
Low
Within parent city
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#69 of 88 tracts In Newark
Low
Within county
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#69 of 211 tracts In Essex County
Elevated
Within state
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#99 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Newark and the region

Centroid at 40.7205, -74.1565 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Ferry scores 9.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Newark
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
15.5% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,738 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newark
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newark
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newark
8.0

How East Ferry compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
East Ferry risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.3This tracttract 0071008.5Newarkparent city7.3Countyavg tract in county6.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 154Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 2.96%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.6%Peak (2014)
  • 24Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 34013007100
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within East Ferry. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Ferry

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 9/10. Annualized rent equals 38% of average household income of $54,603, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. 78% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

It sits 2.0 points above the Essex County average of 7.3. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Severe burden reaches 18%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

At $1,738 a month, rents run 25% over what the rest of Newark commands. Against Essex County at 50.3%, 59% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Adults with no health insurance runs 21.7% against 11.3% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 154 evictions over 6 years of observation. Food insecurity runs 25.1% against 17.8% nationally.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 34013007100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34013007100?

Census tract 34013007100 in the East Ferry neighborhood scores 9.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34013007100?

Median gross rent is $1,738/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34013007100?

15.5% of residents in tract 34013007100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,258.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34013007100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 86th, minority 78th, housing 62th.
Q5

Is tract 34013007100 considered part of East Ferry?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34013007100 fall within East Ferry (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34013007100?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 154 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34013007100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.96% of renter households, peaking at 3.6% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34013007100 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34013007100 compare to Newark overall?

Tract 34013007100 scores 9.3/10, higher than the parent city of Newark at 8.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newark eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 34013007100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 54% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Newark

Top eight tracts in Newark ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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