East Ferry Eviction Risk: High , Newark

Against Essex County at 50.3%, roughly two in three of renters here are cost-burdened. The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. This is renter territory: 85% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Against the Essex County average of 7.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.2 points. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 9/10.

Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $54,577, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Food insecurity runs 33.1% against 17.8% nationally.

On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Court records carry 200 eviction filings across 6 observed years.

SNAP participation runs 22.9% against 15.2% nationally. At $1,539 a month, rents run 11% over what the rest of Newark commands.

The worst year on record was 2014, when 5.1% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 3.6% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #2,657 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.