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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally

McGinley Square Eviction Risk: High , Jersey City

Tract 34017004700 · Hudson County, NJ · pop 3,077 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Tract 34017004700 sits in the McGinley Square area of Jersey City eviction risk, NJ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8/10. Population here is 3,077. The severe-burden share is 34%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45% Stable renters 37% Owners 18%
Tract context
Occupied units1,629
Renter share82.8%
SVI overall0.63
Poverty rate13.3%
Median income$83,268

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileLowHigh
#19 of 22 tracts In McGinley Square
Very Low
Within parent city
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#40 of 77 tracts In Jersey City
Moderate
Within county
62 th percentile
Rank, 62nd percentileLowHigh
#70 of 183 tracts In Hudson County
Elevated
Within state
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#394 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Jersey City and the region

Centroid at 40.7085, -74.0626 · click any tract to drill in

Why McGinley Square scores 8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Jersey City
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
13.3% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$2,561 rent vs county FMR
6.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jersey City
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jersey City
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jersey City
8.0

How McGinley Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
McGinley Square risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.0This tracttract 0047008.0Jersey Cityparent city7.7Countyavg tract in county6.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 63

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 306Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 9.51%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.0%Peak (2017)
  • 73Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2014 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 34017004700
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within McGinley Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in McGinley Square

This is renter territory: 83% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Set annual rent against average income of $83,268 and the ratio lands at 37%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 8.5/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10. At $2,561 a month, rents run 28% over what the rest of Jersey City commands.

Cost burden runs 55% here against 46.5% across Hudson County. On the high side, local political climate reads 8/10. Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 306 filings here across 4 tracked years.

SNAP participation runs 7.8% against 15.2% nationally. Filings peaked in 2017 at 11.0% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 9.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the NJ average is 6.0, so this tract runs 2.0 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 34017004700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34017004700?

Census tract 34017004700 in the McGinley Square neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34017004700?

Median gross rent is $2,561/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34017004700?

13.3% of residents in tract 34017004700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,077.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34017004700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 7th, minority 76th, housing 88th.
Q5

Is tract 34017004700 considered part of McGinley Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34017004700 fall within McGinley Square (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34017004700?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 306 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34017004700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.51% of renter households, peaking at 11.0% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34017004700 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34017004700 compare to Jersey City overall?

Tract 34017004700 scores 8/10, right in line with the parent city of Jersey City at 8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jersey City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 34017004700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 40% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Jersey City

Top eight tracts in Jersey City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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