Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally
Avenel Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 34023002805 · Middlesex County, NJ · pop 2,604 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Tract 34023002805 sits in the Avenel area of Woodbridge eviction risk, NJ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.7/10. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9/10.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units837
Renter share12.1%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate4.1%
Median income$125,104
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Within county
57
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
51
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Avenel and the region
Centroid at 40.5672, -74.2796 · click any tract to drill in
Why Avenel scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Avenel
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
4.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,775 rent vs county FMR
7.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Avenel
4.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Avenel
8.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Avenel
4.5
How Avenel compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 18
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 17%Socioeconomic
- 27%Household composition
- 56%Racial/ethnic minority
- 20%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2Total filings over 1 yrs
- 1.71%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.7%Peak (2015)
- 2Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Avenel. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.6%Housing insecurity
- 5.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.3%Food insecurity
- 5.9%SNAP enrollment
- 6.3%Transit barriers
- 10.0%No health insurance
- 14.8%Frequent mental distress
- 24.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Avenel
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. Average gross rent is $2,775, 33% above the Woodbridge average.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.9/10. The voucher gap is 27.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. about half of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Middlesex County average of 44.9%. SNAP participation runs 5.9% against 15.2% nationally.
The filing record is not thin: 2 evictions over 1 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2015 at 1.7% of renter households. In a typical year about 1.7% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 74th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 12% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 34023002805
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34023002805?
Census tract 34023002805 in the Avenel neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34023002805?
Median gross rent is $2,775/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34023002805?
4.1% of residents in tract 34023002805 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,604.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34023002805?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 27th, minority 56th, housing 20th.
Q5
Is tract 34023002805 considered part of Avenel?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34023002805 fall within Avenel (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34023002805?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 2 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 34023002805 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.71% of renter households, peaking at 1.7% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34023002805 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34023002805 compare to Avenel overall?
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Avenel
Top eight tracts in Avenel ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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