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Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally

White Oak Bottom Eviction Risk: Lower , Toms River

Tract 34029722100 · Ocean County, NJ · pop 6,820 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 34029722100 covers part of the White Oak Bottom area of Toms River, NJ, and scores 3.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. 75% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Ocean County average of 50.5%.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 3% Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units2,206
Renter share11.2%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate4.1%
Median income$97,945

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In White Oak Bottom
Moderate
Within parent city
37 th percentile
Rank, 37th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 20 tracts In Toms River
Low
Within county
26 th percentile
Rank, 26th percentileLowHigh
#107 of 144 tracts In Ocean County
Low
Within state
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileLowHigh
#1,875 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Toms River and the region

Centroid at 40.0229, -74.2046 · click any tract to drill in

Why White Oak Bottom scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Toms River
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
4.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,685 rent vs county FMR
8.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Toms River
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Toms River
4.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Toms River
5.3

How White Oak Bottom compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
White Oak Bottom risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.83.8This tracttract 722100Toms River: 4.64.6Toms Riverparent cityCounty: 5.05.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 6.06.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 52

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 54Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 4.82%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.3%Peak (2018)
  • 13Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 340297221002013: 9 filings (5.52/100 renter HHs)2014: 5 filings (3.07/100 renter HHs)2015: 8 filings (4.91/100 renter HHs)2016: 9 filings (4.33/100 renter HHs)2017: 10 filings (4.81/100 renter HHs)2018: 13 filings (6.25/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 44% over the past 6 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in White Oak Bottom

At $2,685 a month, rents run 55% over what the rest of Toms River commands. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. The voucher gap is 31.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.7/10. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $97,945, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

On the high side, supply constraint reads 8.2/10. 16% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. It sits 1.2 points below the Ocean County average of 5.0.

SNAP participation runs 5.5% against 15.2% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 54 evictions over 6 years of observation.

Food insecurity runs 9.6% against 17.8% nationally. Filings peaked in 2018 at 6.3% of renter households.

In a typical year about 4.8% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #52,479 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 34029722100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34029722100?

Census tract 34029722100 in the White Oak Bottom neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34029722100?

Median gross rent is $2,685/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34029722100?

4.1% of residents in tract 34029722100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,820.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34029722100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 79th, minority 22th, housing 73th.
Q5

Is tract 34029722100 considered part of White Oak Bottom?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34029722100 fall within White Oak Bottom (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34029722100?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 54 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34029722100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.82% of renter households, peaking at 6.3% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34029722100 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34029722100 compare to Toms River overall?

Tract 34029722100 scores 3.8/10, lower than the parent city of Toms River at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toms River eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Toms River

Top eight tracts in Toms River ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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