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Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally

Eastwind Eviction Risk: Lower , Toms River

Tract 34029722702 · Ocean County, NJ · pop 4,415 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 34029722702 covers part of the Eastwind area of Toms River, NJ, and scores 3.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,415 residents. At $2,714 a month, rents run 57% over what the rest of Toms River commands.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 9% Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units1,440
Renter share14.9%
SVI overall0.23
Poverty rate3.3%
Median income$126,295

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Eastwind
Moderate
Within parent city
5 th percentile
Rank, 5th percentileLowHigh
#19 of 20 tracts In Toms River
Very Low
Within county
11 th percentile
Rank, 11th percentileLowHigh
#129 of 144 tracts In Ocean County
Very Low
Within state
6 th percentile
Rank, 6th percentileLowHigh
#2,042 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Toms River and the region

Centroid at 39.9763, -74.1481 · click any tract to drill in

Why Eastwind scores 3.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Toms River
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
3.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,714 rent vs county FMR
8.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Toms River
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Toms River
4.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Toms River
5.3

How Eastwind compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Eastwind risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.23.2This tracttract 722702Toms River: 4.64.6Toms Riverparent cityCounty: 5.05.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 6.06.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 23

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 65Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 7.71%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.9%Peak (2018)
  • 19Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 340297227022013: 11 filings (7.59/100 renter HHs)2014: 10 filings (6.90/100 renter HHs)2015: 9 filings (6.21/100 renter HHs)2016: 10 filings (7.30/100 renter HHs)2017: 6 filings (4.38/100 renter HHs)2018: 19 filings (13.87/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 73% over the past 6 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Eastwind

The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. The voucher gap is 33.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

38% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Ocean County average of 50.5%. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.7/10.

It sits 1.8 points below the Ocean County average of 5.0. Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 8.3/10.

SNAP participation runs 5.8% against 15.2% nationally. Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 65 filings here across 6 tracked years.

Food insecurity runs 10.3% against 17.8% nationally. Filings peaked in 2018 at 13.9% of renter households.

In a typical year about 7.7% of renter households face a filing.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 34029722702

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34029722702?

Census tract 34029722702 in the Eastwind neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34029722702?

Median gross rent is $2,714/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34029722702?

3.3% of residents in tract 34029722702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,415.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34029722702?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 87th, minority 14th, housing 12th.
Q5

Is tract 34029722702 considered part of Eastwind?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34029722702 fall within Eastwind (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34029722702?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 65 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34029722702 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.71% of renter households, peaking at 13.9% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34029722702 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34029722702 compare to Toms River overall?

Tract 34029722702 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Toms River at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toms River eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Toms River

Top eight tracts in Toms River ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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