Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally
Union Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 34039033100 · Union County, NJ · pop 6,379 · 26% of tract blocks fall in Union
With a score of 6.8/10, tract 34039033100 in Union in Union County ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 6,379 residents. That is riskier than roughly 92% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 51% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 36% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,725 monthly, set against $106,579 in average yearly household income, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units2,038
Renter share29.0%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate7.6%
Median income$106,579
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
60
th percentile
Elevated
National
57
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Union and the region
Centroid at 40.6983, -74.2657 · click any tract to drill in
Why Union scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Union
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
7.6% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,725 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Union
5.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Union
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Union
5.5
How Union compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 69
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 85%Socioeconomic
- 18%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 54%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 8%Grade A
- 68%Grade B
- 9%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 147Total filings over 4 yrs
- 6.76%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.0%Peak (2017)
- 37Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 28% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.1%Housing insecurity
- 8.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.5%Food insecurity
- 10.7%SNAP enrollment
- 9.2%Transit barriers
- 13.4%No health insurance
- 15.6%Frequent mental distress
- 25.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Union
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 6.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Union, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Union County average of 6.6 and in line with the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 147 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 6.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 8.0% of renter households in 2017.
In CDC survey modeling, about 16.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 34039033100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039033100?
Census tract 34039033100 in Union scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34039033100?
Median gross rent is $1,725/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34039033100?
7.6% of residents in tract 34039033100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,379.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34039033100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 18th, minority 87th, housing 54th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34039033100?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 147 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34039033100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.76% of renter households, peaking at 8.0% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 34039033100 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 34039033100 compare to Union overall?
Tract 34039033100 scores 4.3/10, lower than the parent city of Union at 8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Union; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 34039033100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Union
Top eight tracts in Union ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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