Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #3,082 of 84,120 nationally
South Central Eviction Risk: High , Watervliet
Tract 36001013200 · Albany County, NY · pop 3,492 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
With a score of 9.3/10, tract 36001013200 in the South Central area of Watervliet, NY reads high for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,492 residents. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.7/10.
Risk score
9.3
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%
Stable renters 37%
Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units1,600
Renter share72.4%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate25.6%
Median income$49,318
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
75
th percentile
High
Within state
72
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Watervliet and the region
Centroid at 42.7289, -73.7009 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Central scores 9.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Watervliet
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
25.6% poverty · this tract
6.4
Supply constraint
$969 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Watervliet
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Watervliet
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Watervliet
7.1
How South Central compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 81
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 67%Socioeconomic
- 98%Household composition
- 58%Racial/ethnic minority
- 60%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 49%Grade C
- 33%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within South Central. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 20.2%Housing insecurity
- 13.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 24.9%Food insecurity
- 26.0%SNAP enrollment
- 13.3%Transit barriers
- 9.3%No health insurance
- 20.0%Frequent mental distress
- 36.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Central
Against the Albany County average of 6.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.4 points. 23% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. 72% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
49% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Albany County average of 42.1%. SNAP participation runs 26.0% against 15.2% nationally.
Running hot, state political climate reads 7.3/10. Food insecurity runs 24.9% against 17.8% nationally. Average gross rent is $969, 11% below the Watervliet average.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 96% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 8.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 36001013200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36001013200?
Census tract 36001013200 in the South Central neighborhood scores 9.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36001013200?
Median gross rent is $969/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36001013200?
25.6% of residents in tract 36001013200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,492.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36001013200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 98th, minority 58th, housing 60th.
Q5
Is tract 36001013200 considered part of South Central?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36001013200 fall within South Central (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 36001013200 struggle to pay rent?
About 20.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 36001013200 compare to Watervliet overall?
Tract 36001013200 scores 9.3/10, higher than the parent city of Watervliet at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Watervliet; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 36001013200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 33% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Watervliet
Top eight tracts in Watervliet ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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