Morrisania Eviction Risk: High , New York

What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10. Food insecurity runs 40.9% against 17.8% nationally. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 9.6/10.

This is renter territory: 86% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10.

The poverty rate is 31%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Set annual rent against average income of $51,205 and the ratio lands at 32%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Average gross rent is $1,379, 24% below the New York average. 50% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Bronx County average of 56.0%.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 18.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The filing record is not thin: 1,473 evictions over 8 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2002 at 33.6% of renter households. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Bronx. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 26.0% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 100% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.